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NORTH CAROLINA: 134 Delegates (115 determined today) A synopsis

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mmonk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 07:10 AM
Original message
NORTH CAROLINA: 134 Delegates (115 determined today) A synopsis
134 Delegates-Because of complexity of the system, total counts awarded may take awhile. Runoffs in larger counties may effect delegate total.

115 Determined today

77-Based on voting percentage of the 13 congressional districts. Districts with odd numbers more important because even in close wins, and extra delegate will be awarded. The 4th congressional district (mine) will have the most.

38-Determined by statewide voting percentage.

17-Superdelegates. So far, Obama leads 6 to 2. Schuler will probably make it 3 for Clinton.

2-Elected at state convention from a list of four names from Jerry Meek. My oldest son was asked by Meek to be a delegate (I'm already a delegate through election).

470,000 votes already cast in early voting.

Good luck everyone from North Carolina.

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lojasmo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 07:16 AM
Response to Original message
1. What are the demographics
of the districts with odd numbers? Who do they favor?
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jefferson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 07:23 AM
Response to Reply #1
4. Terrific county-level demographics chart, with projected vote totals.
---> http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/05/north-carolina-scorecard.html

Should be handy to use tonight to see who is over/under performing.
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mmonk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 07:46 AM
Response to Reply #4
7. Thanks for adding that.
Metro areas will go for Obama. Small towns for Clinton.
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mmonk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 12:19 PM
Response to Reply #1
13. 4th (mine) will be heavy Obama.
The districts around Greensboro should be Obama as well. Districts in the western part of the state will be more for Clinton with probably exceptions in uptown Charlotte and Asheville. Some smaller ones down east will go Obama. Others will split or go Clinton I think.
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Independent-Voter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 07:17 AM
Response to Original message
2. NC is going big for Obama. >10%
Took my grandmother and her buddies out for breakfast and voting first thing this morning. Learned two things.

1) These 70-80 y/o grandmothers can't stand Hillary. One quote in particular "I might be an old white woman, but I'm not voting for that bitch!" I'm not making this up.

2) Walking 2-3 miles a day keeps you young. My granny's walking group has gotten together for over 20 years now. My wife and I even bought one of their crew one of those high-performance wheelchairs for one lady who broke her hip. They push her around the track or mall most days!

Beautiful day today in NC. Clear skies, and big turnout already.
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jefferson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 07:21 AM
Response to Original message
3. For what it's worth, sludge is talking shit about Hillary facing a "15-point defeat" in NC.
DANGER DAY: HILLARY FACES '15-POINT DEFEAT' IN NC; SEES INDIANA WIN
Tue May 06 2008 06:35:49 ET

Hillary Clinton's inner circle now fears a stinging defeat is likely in North Carolina.

"Look, we worked hard and gave it our best shot, but the demographics, well, they are what they are," a top campaign source explained to the DRUDGE REPORT as voting began Tuesday morning.

The campaign now believes a 15 point loss, or more, would not be surprising. Her team will work hard throughout the day to lower all expectations in North Carolina.

The campaign hopes media attention will stay fixated on the competition in Indiana, where 72 delegates are on the line, and Clinton internals show a victory!

MORE

North Carolina had been seen by Clinton insiders as the senator's last shot to seriously jolt the system and overshadow the math. With 115 delegates at stake, North Carolina posed an uphill battle for Clinton.

Obama easily carried the region in earlier voting, topping Clinton in Maryland by 23-points; Virginia by 29, South Carolina 28 and Georgia 36.

The campaign hopes to move quickly onto a victory next Tuesday in West Virginia, where only 28 delegates are at stake.

Developing...

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my3boyz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 07:49 AM
Response to Reply #3
8. They might be making it up so their Repug voters in NC will go vote for Hillary. nt
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Independent-Voter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 08:24 AM
Response to Reply #8
10. Not unless they're unaffiliated they're not. NC is not an open primary per se'
Unaffilated voters can go either way, but must ask for one party's ballot for the primaries.

Now NC has something like 30% unaffilated, but that's another story.
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mmonk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 09:40 AM
Response to Reply #8
12. No republicans in our primary.
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NorthCarolina Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 07:29 AM
Response to Original message
5. Three here headed to the polls shortly to cast our votes
for OBAMA!!! :woohoo:
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WillYourVoteBCounted Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 07:37 AM
Response to Original message
6. 1182,236 Robo calls tied to former Clinton chief of staffs in North Carolina
An estimated 182,236 illegal robo calls have been made in North Carolina on 4/24 and 4/25 during NC's early voting period. These calls lead the voter to think they are no longer registered to vote. The pattern of complaints indicate that African Americans are being targeted.

Robo Call investigation: North Carolina is one of 11 states targeted with misleading Chris Kromm Facing South ...The NC NAACP has filed a formal complaint. N.C. residents have reported receiving peculiar automated calls from someone claiming to be "Lamont Williams." The caller says that a "voter registration packet" is coming in the mail, and the recipient can sign it and mail it back to be registered to vote and then they can vote....

See http://southernstudies.org/facingsouth/ for more on the investigation
and
see http://www.ncvoter.net to use our onine form to report one of these robo calls,
or

Call 1-866- MY-VOTE-1 robo calls or voting experience/problems or to find your polling place.
www.VoterAction.org is monitoring.

Call 1-866-OUR-VOTE if you experience any problems registering, early voting, or voting on Election Day. You will get a live person who can assist you. 1-866-OUR-VOTE is the only national voter assistance hotline staffed by live call center operators trained to provide state specific assistance to all voters.



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Adelante Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 07:59 AM
Response to Original message
9. Thank you for the informative OP, mmonk nt
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mmonk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 09:34 AM
Response to Reply #9
11. No problem. You're welcome.
I thought I would give everyone a look into our process.
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marions ghost Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 12:45 PM
Response to Original message
14. thanks mmonk
:thumbsup:
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mmonk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 08:54 PM
Response to Reply #14
15. You're welcome. And now a message from Raleigh NC.
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