Five things to look for in Indiana - and things look good for Obama

According to these indicators, things look well for Obama. I will glued to my cable TV 2Nite!

"Here is what Indiana political strategists and experts will be looking for Tuesday:

"1. Check the polls. “The mantra is that 10-2-4 routine,” said Brian Howey, editor of Howey Politics Indiana, referring to 10 a.m., 2 p.m. and 4 p.m. checks to gauge turnout.

"2. Follow the turnout. Analysts are expecting far bigger turnout this year than in 2004, when about 22 percent of voters cast ballots in the presidential primary, said Russell Hanson, a political science professor at Indiana University-Bloomington. A much bigger turnout is good news for Obama because it means “those who haven’t been politically engaged in the past are coming out,” Hanson said. “If that is not happening, then that is working in Clinton’s favor because the traditional machinery is working.”


"3. The new vote and the early vote. Analysts will be watching the preferences of the more than 200,000 new voters who were added to the registration rolls. “How many are Obamacans versus Rush Limbaugh mischief makers?” Howey asked.
More than 160,000 voters cast their ballots early, with large numbers coming in from Obama strongholds in Lake (Gary), Marion (Indianapolis) and Monroe (Indiana University-Bloomington) counties. More than 160,000 voters cast their ballots early, with large numbers coming in from Obama strongholds in Lake (Gary), Marion (Indianapolis) and Monroe (Indiana University-Bloomington) counties.

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"4. Hoosier math. Obama needs to pile up large margins in Indianapolis in the middle of the state and in Gary’s Lake County in the northwest corner, which is part of the Chicago media market. Both areas boast significant African American populations. Gary, a city of 100,000 residents, is 84 percent black. Indianapolis, population 780,000, is 25 percent black. A good night for Obama would mean 10- to 20-point margins in both areas, analysts said."

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"5. Places to watch. Kokomo’s Howard County is the bellwether to watch, Howey said. It is urban and rural, with a mix of African Americans and blue collar workers, some employed in the Chrysler plants. According to Howey, it tends to back the winner in gubernatorial, congressional and state legislative races. The South Bend area drew significant focus from both campaigns. It is home to the University of Notre Dame, which bodes well for Obama, but there are also many Catholics and a “strong tradition of blue collar Reagan Democratic voters” that would favor Clinton, said Hanson."


More at the link: http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0508/10111.html



:patriot:

which I plan to attend.

But, isn't the best indicator the end result?

which are those indicators which occur BEFORE said election - in the event you would like some information before the election. Get it? :hi:

the past month have really turned me stomach. It is bad enough with hillary taking the low road, but when her surrogates then accuse Obama for doing what they do daily, I have had enough.

In one way, I am relieved that today is primary day. Make that two ways.
first, we have seen the real hillary (and bill) and the image ain't pretty. Ruthless, immoral, amoral, without integrity, and willing to say or do anything without any concern for truth and honesty - she managed to keep that side of her hidden in the US senate for quite a few years.

second, I am glad that two more state primaries are over in 10.5 hours.

It is exhausting my entire family. Even my kids (ages 5-13) say "don't the Democrats need to campaign agaings McLame?" Truth from the mouth of babes. :toast: