Holy Shit !!! - With 25% Of Vote In From Lake County... Obama 75% Clinton 25%

WillyT

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Tue May-06-08 10:47 PM
Original message

Holy Shit !!! - With 25% Of Vote In From Lake County... Obama 75% Clinton 25%

Link: http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/state/#IN

:wow:

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redstate_democrat

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Tue May-06-08 10:48 PM
Response to Original message

1. OMG!

GOBAMA!

DONATE MONEY!!! NOW!!

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SallyMander

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Tue May-06-08 10:48 PM
Response to Original message

2. What percentage does he need to take the lead?

Anyone done the math?

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Jackinbox

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Tue May-06-08 10:49 PM
Response to Reply #2

8. Chuck Todd says

60-65%

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SallyMander

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Tue May-06-08 10:49 PM
Response to Reply #8

10. Thanks Jackinbox!

:hi:

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PseudoIntellect

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Tue May-06-08 10:52 PM
Original message

If you extrapolate 75/25 with 28% reporting and a 18521 vote lead,

he'll gain about +48,000 extra on top of that in that district.

That's good, considering almost all of Hillary's strongholds are at 99% or 100% reporting.

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Boz

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Tue May-06-08 10:52 PM
Response to Reply #2

24. 58.6%

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populistdriven

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Tue May-06-08 10:53 PM
Response to Reply #2

27. my numbers - 50760 more votes coming for obama - 19740 for HC - B wins by 10,000 votes

Edited on Tue May-06-08 10:57 PM by bushmeat

28 pct in which counts to 27500 votes means 98000 votes cast
70500 votes to count and if 72 pct go for obama thats 50760 votes for obama

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Muttocracy

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Tue May-06-08 11:06 PM
Response to Reply #27

40. but isn't it 28% of precincts, not 28% of votes in? have small or large ones reported? nt

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WeDidIt

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Tue May-06-08 10:48 PM
Response to Original message

3. IN-FUCKING-CREDIBLE!

He may pull it out yet!

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populistdriven

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Tue May-06-08 10:48 PM
Response to Original message

4. those are MASSIVE numbers!!!

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sellitman

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Tue May-06-08 10:49 PM
Response to Original message

5. Glad I stayed up now.

This is fun.

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WillyT

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Tue May-06-08 10:49 PM
Response to Original message

6. Move Your Mouse Over The NorthWestern Most County On The Map...

when it loads.

:wow:

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babylonsister

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Tue May-06-08 10:49 PM
Response to Original message

7. This could be an upset, WillyT. Can you even imagine? What would

happen? Would Clinton or Obama give a speech? :wow:

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sellitman

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Tue May-06-08 10:50 PM
Response to Reply #7

13. Hi Sis!

This is fun.

I may be half in the bag but this is amazing!

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WillyT

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Tue May-06-08 10:50 PM
Response to Reply #7

14. Good Question !!!

This is unprecedented.

:bounce:

:hi:

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proud patriot

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Tue May-06-08 10:54 PM
Response to Reply #7

28. I dunno

I'm now having a hot flash though . :wow:

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WillyT

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Tue May-06-08 10:56 PM
Response to Reply #28

32. Me Too !!!

:evilgrin:

:hi:

:loveya:

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beachmom

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Tue May-06-08 10:49 PM
Response to Original message

9. Yeah, but there are other voters in Lake Co. not living in Gary, IN.

Don't get too excited.

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Lochloosa

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Tue May-06-08 10:50 PM
Response to Original message

11. It's over. Can we get rid of GD-P now?

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Muttocracy

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Tue May-06-08 10:50 PM
Response to Original message

12. NYTimes has 20,000 vote gap statewide now.

http://politics.nytimes.com/election-guide/2008/results/states/IN.html

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NewHampshireDem

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Tue May-06-08 10:51 PM
Response to Reply #12

17. CNN.com is showing less than that

A smidge over 19K!

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Muttocracy

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Tue May-06-08 10:52 PM
Response to Reply #17

19. Thanks! CNN is usually a bit ahead of NYTimes but sometimes loads slower for me!

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SavageDem

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Tue May-06-08 10:50 PM
Response to Original message

15. Great minds...

Your subject line is EXACTLY the same as the one on an email I just sent to my buddy! As soon as they came on with that on CNN I said, "Holy SHIT!"

As Mulder's poster said on X-Files, "I want to believe!"

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Muttocracy

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Tue May-06-08 10:51 PM
Response to Original message

16. and Monroe County is still coming in for Obama too, right? nt

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casus belli

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Tue May-06-08 10:55 PM
Response to Reply #16

30. Monroe County is home of IU....

Right now they've got 33% to go, and it's going 2:1 for Obama.

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Yukari Yakumo

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Tue May-06-08 10:51 PM
Response to Original message

18. Oh please oh please oh please oh please oh please oh please oh please oh please oh please

Please make HRH HRC eat her words.

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JVS

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Tue May-06-08 10:52 PM
Response to Original message

20. GO GARY!

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Boz

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Tue May-06-08 10:52 PM
Response to Original message

21. Theyve startted counting absentee ballots in Lake, If those margins hold , he will take the lead.

There are 11 000 absentee ballots in Lake

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nyccitizen

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Tue May-06-08 10:52 PM
Response to Original message

22. Stay calm... CNN says all 28% from Gary... rural Lake County not yet in...

It's gonna be a squeaker but Lake started with Obama's best, the 75/25 margin will definitely narrow.

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Zachstar

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Tue May-06-08 10:52 PM
Response to Original message

23. This is getting close!!!

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debbierlus

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Tue May-06-08 10:52 PM
Response to Original message

25. 61% according to Russert on MSNBC

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blitzen

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Tue May-06-08 10:53 PM
Response to Original message

26. Half of Gary is in, so I expect that number to go down to 65% or so...

but Obama could still win

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hokies4ever

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Tue May-06-08 10:55 PM
Response to Original message

29. BUT - (CNN) the 28% was from Gary

according to CNN. So it's not a done deal for Obama winning Indiana just yet

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samsingh

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Tue May-06-08 10:55 PM
Response to Original message

31. with such a narrow margin of victory - Obama doesn't even need to

win Indiana.

the point is moot - the delegates are pretty much split.

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Robeson

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Tue May-06-08 10:57 PM
Response to Reply #31

33. Bingo. Indiana is already a win for Obama.

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Quixote1818

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Tue May-06-08 10:57 PM
Response to Original message

34. Obama is going to win. He will win by about 20,000 votes if this holds up. nt

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SavageDem

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Tue May-06-08 11:01 PM
Response to Original message

35. Let's see if my math is right...

28% reporting so far (11:55 EDT)
37461 votes counted
37461 / .28 = 133,789 total votes in Lake County
133,789 - 37,461 = 96,328 votes remaining to be counted
20,000 vote deficit for Obama to catch Clinton
58,328 Obama + 38,000 Clinton = 96,328
58,328 Obama - 38,000 Clinton = 20,000 vote deficit erased
58,328 / 96,328 = 60.6% required for remaining votes

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Muttocracy

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Tue May-06-08 11:03 PM
Response to Reply #35

38. I think not all precincts are the same size - 28% of precincts in, not voters.

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SavageDem

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Tue May-06-08 11:08 PM
Response to Reply #38

43. Dammit!

You miss one little detail and everything goes to hell. Thanks for pointing that out. Need to get my Excel fired up and download some precinct numbers from somewhere...

Or just watch CNN and let them tell me! But I am getting pissed off at this smug mayor from Hammond, IN who is trying to get the conspiracy buffs fired up on the Lake-County-is-withholding-votes-because-they're-rigging-it-for-Obama.

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Muttocracy

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Tue May-06-08 11:31 PM
Response to Reply #43

50. I think this is part of what makes it so hard to predict! nt

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Muttocracy

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Tue May-06-08 11:02 PM
Response to Original message

36. do we know if it's big or small precincts that have reported so far?

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autorank

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Tue May-06-08 11:03 PM
Response to Original message

37. That is a holy shit moment

That's Gary, which is about right for Obama.

The rest of Lake County has yet to come in.

The county is known for it's corruption ... so if Obama takes it there, someone will cry foul.

Here's the deal on that possible charge - the suburban and rural Lake County votes were the ones held
back until the very final moment.

Anyone remember Hackett's special election in 2005 - how he lost at the very end when Clermont County
had a humidity crisis and Schmidt (R) pulled ahead at the very end.

Whoever reports last is to be questioned - so it's rural and suburban Lake Cunty that need to be questioned.

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Echotrail

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Tue May-06-08 11:08 PM
Response to Reply #37

42. 'Tis

Geeze, there's a cliffhanger at every turn nowadays, and always lots of justifiable suspician.

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SavageDem

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Tue May-06-08 11:09 PM
Response to Reply #37

46. Might want to revise your last sentence...

...unless that's a McCain-esque dig at Lake County! ;)

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democrat2thecore

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Tue May-06-08 11:04 PM
Response to Original message

39. Basically SE Chicago! They KNOW Barack Obama -- GOBAMA!!!

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Marie26

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Tue May-06-08 11:07 PM
Response to Original message

41. It's all from Gary

As per CNN. NO numbers at all from the rest of the county.

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JVS

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Tue May-06-08 11:08 PM
Response to Reply #41

44. I've heard that they're having delay counting provisional ballots.

Edited on Tue May-06-08 11:09 PM by JVS

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Marie26

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Tue May-06-08 11:11 PM
Response to Reply #44

47. Well,

CNN says that Gary has reported & that's the 28% that's in right now. According to CNN, NONE of the votes have come in yet from the rest of the county. So it's actually the reverse, urban Gary votes are in, but the votes from the rural/small towns haven't come in at all yet. It's weird, IMO.

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L. Coyote

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Tue May-06-08 11:09 PM
Response to Original message

45. That's all of Gary, so this will drop below 2/3 still!

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Jersey Devil

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Tue May-06-08 11:11 PM
Response to Reply #45

48. They're saying it's only half of Gary on MSNBC they think (nt)

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Guaranteed

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Tue May-06-08 11:11 PM
Response to Original message

49. Russert just called the RACE for Obama. He said, I quote:

"We now know who the Democratic nominee is going to be."

And that would be Obama.

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leftupnorth

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Tue May-06-08 11:36 PM
Response to Original message

51. 1.38% 95% in

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WillyT

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Tue May-06-08 11:41 PM
Response to Original message

52. Now 65% To 35% With 56% Reporting

Looks like it's tightening.

:shrug:

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