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Looks like 350,000 votes today in WV.

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godai Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:29 PM
Original message
Looks like 350,000 votes today in WV.
All day I've been hearing about high turnout, perhaps 500,000 votes, with Clinton gaining about 200,000 votes in the total primary vote. But, with 20% of the vote counted the total vote is about 70,000. That would mean 350,000 votes when they are all counted, with Clinton gaining 125,000 votes on Obama. Delegates apparently will split 19/9, a 10 delegate pickup.

So, overall, one less state to go with very small changes in the big picture. But, looks like the kabuki dance will continue for a couple more weeks, for what purpose, I'm not sure. Seems that a morbid hope for a big Obama scandal is all that remains for the Clinton campaign.
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napi21 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:36 PM
Response to Original message
1. You can't extrapolate the numbers like that. It depends on what
precincts have been reported in that 20%. I'm not saying you're wrong, but that with 20% unless you know where those precincts were there's just no way to tell yet.
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godai Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:47 PM
Response to Reply #1
7. Not sure, but still looks like 350,000 total with 33% reporting.
This may not be exactly correct but I don't think the total will be 500,000.
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Stagecoach Donating Member (468 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 09:08 PM
Response to Reply #7
9. That's what Terry Mc was arguing with Tweety about
Sounded like Terry was alluding to the lower than expected vote turnout was because the pundits said the race was over and it discouraged people from voting, which would hurt Hillary's margin of victory, in terms of popular vote.
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godai Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 09:18 PM
Response to Reply #7
13. With 50% in, still extrapolates to about 340,000 total votes.
It seems that extrapolation is working. Clinton leads by 68,000, which extrapolates to about a 140,000 vote victory.
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:37 PM
Response to Original message
2. Exits now show a 64-29 victory for Clinton
That is a lot of people not voting for the two
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godai Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:43 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. Edwards has 7% n/t
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:44 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. He actually has that?
wow
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book_worm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:45 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. I think a lot of that is not Edwards but uncommitted
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jsamuel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:46 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. nope, Edwards has 7%, link
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/elections/2008/results/wv/401999/full.html
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malik flavors Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 09:04 PM
Response to Original message
8. Won't Clinton net even more votes than Obama because of Edwards 7%?
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godai Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 09:27 PM
Response to Reply #8
17. With 56% in, Clinton leads by 74,000.
If the same trends continue with the remaining votes, Clinton will gain about 140,000 in the overall primary vote totals.
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Occam Bandage Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 09:09 PM
Response to Original message
10. Unless I'm badly off, I think the % in is precincts, not votes.
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kwenu Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 09:10 PM
Response to Original message
11. If there were any Obama scandals you damn well better believe Hillary would have used them by now.
Edited on Tue May-13-08 09:12 PM by kwenu
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godai Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 09:21 PM
Response to Reply #11
14. They hope for a NEW scandal, yet unknown.
This is the only thing I can think of that would make the SDs abandon Obama, as the Clintons would like. I don't think there will be a scandal but the Comeback Kids need this for survival.
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kwenu Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 09:42 PM
Response to Reply #14
20. Precisely. If they had one they needed to use it yesterday. They've got nothing.
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OzarkDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 09:12 PM
Response to Original message
12. 47% reporting, Clinton has 114,404 votes
It appears very likely she will end up with well over 200,000 votes, closer to 230,000.

She's also showing a pickup of 15 delegates so far.
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alcibiades_mystery Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 09:21 PM
Response to Reply #12
15. Clinton will certainly GROSS 200,000, and the OP doesn't deny that
The question is what she will net. Currently, with 54% of the precincts reporting, she is netting about 73,000. I know you like contests in which Obama gets zero votes, but that's not happening here! She will likely end up NETTING about 150,000, supposing that the outstanding precincts are as populated as the already counted precincts. Which is, of course, precisely what the OP said. She's currently netting 12 delegates out of 18 apportioned (i.e., she has 15 to Obama's 3). You do understand the difference between gross and net, right?
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OzarkDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 09:25 PM
Response to Reply #15
16. Agree, "net" 150,000 votes and 12 delegates
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alcibiades_mystery Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 09:27 PM
Response to Reply #16
18. Kinda sucks to be down 700,000 and 150 delegates in that case, no?
:shrug:
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OzarkDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 09:34 PM
Response to Reply #18
19. Not worried about it
Edited on Tue May-13-08 09:38 PM by OzarkDem
Its only a 2% difference and smaller after FL & MI
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DemsUnited Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 09:48 PM
Response to Original message
21. With getting on 2/3rds of the vote in, looks like you're about right...
Good guess.
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