SUSA Polls, OR: Obama By 13; KY: Clinton By 32

SUSA Polls, OR: Obama By 13; KY: Clinton By 32
By Big Tent Democrat, Section Elections 2008
Posted on Mon May 19, 2008 at 01:49:42 PM EST
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SUSA on Oregon and Kentucky. In Oregon:

In the Oregon Democratic Primary, which is conducted entirely by mail-in ballot, Barack Obama leads Hillary Clinton by 9 points among the 77% of likely voters who have already returned a ballot, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for KATU-TV in Portland. When all likely voters are included, including those who say they will return a ballot before the window of opportunity closes, Obama defeats Clinton 55% to 42%.
In Kentucky :

Clinton leads 62% to 30% today, effectively unchanged from SurveyUSA polls released 4 weeks, 2 weeks and 1 week ago.
http://www.talkleft.com/story/2008/5/19/144942/236

?

snore.... What he and JE did, to shut down Hillary's VICTORY in VW was...Shameful! really..Zer kLaSS.

and Obama net several delegates from him too, woo-woo. Tomorrow Obama will win Oregon big and net more than enough delegates to win the pledged delegate race and that will be the big story.

n/t

then that was either more of an impressive endorsement than the people dismissing it make it out to be, or it wasn't much of a win.

Now if OR tightens, it will be interesting indeed!

17%. An Oregon polling firm has him up by 20. And my bet is he doesn't lose by more than 23-26 points in KY. Still a walloping but really insignificant. Obama will only need a very few SDs to put him over the top come Wednesday. Hill will still need around 150. She's done.

yet meaningless in the sense of who the nominee will be.

Looks like she has her work cut out for her, even in Kentucky.

How many days of netting 9 delegates does she need to catch up to his 160-180 point lead (depending on various counts of supers)

Way too little, way too late

Poor Hill, she can't win for winning.

Kentucky isn't going to turn her campaign around.

Hillary wins one, Obama wins one. Obama stretches his lead in popluar and delegate vote. The most fatalistic Hillary supporters spin it as some sort of old school beat down for Obama. They'll say he can't win white, working class voters while the rest of us wonder why he's crushing her in Oregon, a state filled with white, working class voters. Most of us go on realizing the democratic primary is over, and has been for awhile.

The only difference now is that the media has pretty much picked up on the fact that it's over as well and have begun to focus on the Obama/McCain race (and please believe that is the only race still going on).

With or without the Edwards endorsement the race is still over and has been since Hillary failed to win OH/TX by a margin big enough for her to have any hope of closing the delegate lead. I'm sorry the Edwards endorsement ended the new cycle for Hillary and her "pity party" win in West Virginia.

Oregon:
Clinton - 22
Obama - 30

Kentucky:
Clinton - 33
Obama - 18

55 for Clinton, 48 for Obama, Clinton +7.

New pledged delegate totals would be:
Clinton - 1,497.5 (129 below half, with 86 pledged delegates left)
Obama - 1,659.5 (33 above half, with 86 pledged delegates left)

:hi:

How is McCain polling against Ron Paul?

...it has a large number of folks who would never vote for an African America but, unlike Deep Southern states, lacks the large number of African Americans to vote for Obama.

fair

Hillary Dems are racists?

Unless Obama does! ;-)