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Oregon Obama blowout: O 58% C 42%, 72% voters counted, 9:04 p.m

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swag Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-20-08 11:09 PM
Original message
Oregon Obama blowout: O 58% C 42%, 72% voters counted, 9:04 p.m
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jsamuel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-20-08 11:12 PM
Response to Original message
1. If that is true, Obama will get
about 100,000-120,000 votes over Clinton tonight and Clinton will get 250,000 over Obama. CNN says they are at 52%, so it may be higher than that.

So, Clinton will gain about 130,000-150,000 popular votes from tonight.
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goclark Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-20-08 11:14 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. So who will have the most popular votes?
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jsamuel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-20-08 11:15 PM
Response to Reply #3
6. check here
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CalGator Donating Member (517 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 12:30 AM
Response to Reply #6
16. Oregon still being counted, but yesterday it was 5 of 6 scenarios for Obama
and, of course, the only 1 (or two, depending on how Oregon and subsequent states tally up) includes Michigan (no Obama on ballot) but no caucuses (which is technically impossible to calculate anyway). :crazy:
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AZ Criminal JD Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 03:01 AM
Response to Reply #3
30. Hillary is adding to her popular vote win
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speedoo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-20-08 11:13 PM
Response to Original message
2. MSNBC says it's 52% of the vote.
Otherwise the same numbers. 52% seems like it makes more sense in view of the vote totals, but you live there, so what do you think?
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swag Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-20-08 11:15 PM
Response to Reply #2
5. I'll check the SOS site, and report back,
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gcomeau Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-20-08 11:25 PM
Response to Reply #2
9. The networks track percentage of precincts reporting.
The S.O.S. site seems to be reporting estimated numbers of total votes counted. If the heavier population density precincts come in first the total percentage of votes counted would lead the percentage of precincts reporting.
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bilgewaterbill Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-20-08 11:31 PM
Response to Reply #2
10. Both are correct.
52% of precincts counted.
72% of total votes counted.
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sandnsea Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-20-08 11:15 PM
Response to Original message
4. Multnomah 73% counted, Lane 60%
We've got a lot of room to widen that margin too! And look at Jo County 49/49, isn't that something.


:woohoo: :woohoo: :woohoo:
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swag Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-20-08 11:15 PM
Response to Reply #4
7. That last stat is amazing.
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BeyondGeography Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 01:20 AM
Response to Reply #4
18. S&S, I'm so glad you could be part of this stage of primary season
You have been such a stalwart supporter for Barack and Michelle all along.

PS: Great state ya got there.

:thumbsup:
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sandnsea Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 01:46 AM
Response to Reply #18
22. I'd rather be celebrating a nomination!
I am really pleased with most of the results, some of these counties are great surprises. Thanks for the kind words!!
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-20-08 11:16 PM
Response to Original message
8. looks like oregonlive measures votes counted while everyone else does precincts.
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VolcanoJen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-20-08 11:32 PM
Response to Original message
11. Please. Oregon doesn't count.
;-)

The media sure is Kentucky-obsessed tonight, eh?
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Arugula Latte Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-20-08 11:32 PM
Response to Original message
12. Hell yeah, my Oregon peeps.
:toast:
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swag Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 12:06 AM
Response to Original message
13. 9:56 p update (Pacific Time)
Edited on Wed May-21-08 12:27 AM by swag
Clinton 42% 190,219
Obama 58% 263,749

74% OF ESTIMATED VOTES COUNTED :: RESULTS UPDATED @ 9:56 p.m.
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ORDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 12:26 AM
Response to Reply #13
15. At 10:14 76% of vote counted 58/42
Obama, Barack 271,440 58%
Clinton, Hillary 196,276 42%

Projecting Obama wins 30 of 52 delegates.

:dem:
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sandnsea Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 01:43 AM
Response to Reply #15
20. 11:43, 58/41 n/t
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swag Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 12:26 AM
Response to Original message
14. 10:24 pm update: O 57%, C 42%, 77% of est. votes counted
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uppityperson Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 12:31 AM
Response to Original message
17. Thanks guys, for posting the #s.
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sunonmars Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 01:26 AM
Response to Original message
19. Hillary doing substantially better in Oregon than he did in KY

At this point she was 459K to 209K in KY and in Oregon 294K to 212K. She took KY with a whopping 250K pop vote, Obama getting nowhere near that in Oregon.
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dorktv Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 01:45 AM
Response to Reply #19
21. I was expecting an equal thrashing. What happened?
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FrenchieCat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 01:46 AM
Response to Reply #21
23. I think that Hillary was in Oregon all of last week....along with her hubby
and her daughter. That's what happened.
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dorktv Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 01:51 AM
Response to Reply #23
25. You know there is a reason I think they should be united on one ticket.
Several really:

Obama is a city candidate, she is a rural candidate. He tries to stay above the fray, she is willing to get down and dirty. And to be honest, I doubt that her family will be as enthusiastic as people think they will unless she is on the ticket.

They will do proforma but otherwise just kind of lay low. Some would say that is a good thing but the former President remains very popular with a lot of people and I cannot see him willing to put his health at any more risk for someone else-but I could be reading him wrong as I have never met the man.
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FrenchieCat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 02:38 AM
Response to Reply #25
26. I actually don't believe that she's a rural candidate......
not once the GOP gets finished saying all of the things that Obama decided not to.
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Leopolds Ghost Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 02:59 AM
Response to Reply #26
29. She's not a rural candidate. Obama is getting 5% in very specific counties. See link to my analysis.
They will take any ally they can get against (a) a black man (b) someone they think will destroy their livelihood. (fake populist demagogues like Clinton are expert at convincing white southern sharecropper class to defend Tory values against economic leftists and civil libertarians.)

See: http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x6054753#6055799
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Leopolds Ghost Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 02:54 AM
Response to Reply #21
28. Obama got only 5-10% of the vote in Western Kentucky-- the KERRY COUNTIES. See my links downthread.
Edited on Wed May-21-08 02:55 AM by Leopolds Ghost
These are the mining counties, I did a detailed analysis on another thread, see my other post for links.

The mining counties were the only ones to vote for Kerry and the only ones to vote AGAINST Obama 5% --
much more extreme than any other ethnic group in the election.

Something disturbing is happening here.

The results in Oregon are NORMAL. They are the CONTROL variable here.

When race and fake populism (Tory demagoguery directed against economic liberals and civil libertarians)
are removed from the equation.

Kentucky's results are the ones that are skewed.
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quantass Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 01:47 AM
Response to Original message
24. Obama is KICKING ASS!!!! Bye-bye Hillary!
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AZ Criminal JD Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 03:04 AM
Response to Reply #24
31. Do you vote in this country?
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Leopolds Ghost Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 02:47 AM
Response to Original message
27. Not much of a Blowout. See my analysis for the real story:
Edited on Wed May-21-08 02:50 AM by Leopolds Ghost
The real story is that rural Western voters seem to be
simply voting without regard to race
and seem to disregard as lies/pandering
the MSM/DLC's racially tinged "elitist" fake populism message directed against liberals.

Are Rural Oregonians Less Racist than Kentucky, or have Appalachian Voters become Tory Conservatives like Hillary and McCain?

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x6054753

Specifically, see my analysis of the Clinton 85% Obama 5% blowout in Western Kentucky downthread:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x6054753#6055799

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x6054753#6056023

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x6054753#6056225
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