No fancy numbers..just an honest assessment

The wins & how she got them..

People love to trumpet all the BIG states..important state she carried..Facts say otherwise


1-8.....New Hampshire... tears & a squeaker after an Iowa loss ....39 C-37 O..odd ballots, quirky numbers
___________________________________________________
1/15...Nevada....won the battle..lost the war Obama got more delegates
51 C- 45 O

1-15...Michigan..beauty contest only (45% showed up to vote against her in a non-election)
_______________________________________________
1-29...Florida..beauty contest only
_________________________________________________
2-5.....New York...sitting second term senator
57 C- 40 O

2-5 ....New Jersey..support from Corzine, neighbor to NY
54 C- 44 O

2-5.......Massachusetts
57 C- 41O

2-5.....Arkansas...2 term first lady
70 C- 26 O

2-5.....Oklahoma
55 C- 31 O

2-5.....California. 1/3 to 1/2 to ALL votes were cast in early to mid January before anyone knew who Obama was
54 C - 43 O

2-5......New Mexico
49 C - 48 O

2-5......Tennessee
54 C- 41 O

2-5......Arizona
54 C- 42 O
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((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((

ALL STATES FROM HERE ON HAVE RUSH LIMBAUGH INFLUENCE

3-4....Ohio....
54 C- 44 O

3-4....Rhode Island
58 C- 40

3-4....Texas..won the battle lost the war..got fewer delegates
51 C- 47 O
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4-22.....Pennsylvania..kitchen sink, Fast eddie, Racism, hometown girl..the works
55C- 45 O
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5-6.......Indiana...barhopping, racism, kitchen sink
51 c- 49 O
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5-13.....West Virginia...racism, hoodwinkery
67 C- 26 O
____________________________________________

5-20......Kentucky...(see WV)
65 C- 30 O
*************************************************

The states that she won , that ANY dem with a pulse will/would win anyway

NY
NJ
MA
CA
RI
**MI** she's counting it, but didn't really win it
..............................

The "iffy" states that flip back & forth from time to time

NH
NV
NM
OH
PA (usually blue, but iffy just the same)
...........................................

The states that USUALLY go "red"

AR
OK
TN
AZ
TX
IN
WV
KY
**FL** (see above)

I just do not see ANY states that she won, that would be hers and hers alone..Do You?

In Ohio. Thats about it. Once Fast Eddy turns over the keys to the party machine in PA he'll do just fine here with that machine and the independents and GOPers he turned to democrats.

Florida is a fools errand.

My map assumes a few things:

Barr & Paul stay IN
Alaska is fed up with republican overlords (they ARE)
Landrieu continues to poll well, and McCain does not pick Jindal
Edwards wokks his ass off for Obama in NC
Richardson works his ass of in NM & CO

FL,PA,OH,MI are NOT included PURPOSELY, but any or all of them would be welcome...

This map EXPANDS our base, and forces a BROKE McCain to spend money & time all over the place..

Hawaii
Washington
Oregon
California
Montana
Nevada
Colorado
New Mexico
South Dakota
Minnesota
Iowa
Missouri
Wisconsin
Illinois
Louisiana
Michigan
Georgia
North Carolina
Virginia
Delaware
Maryland
Washington, DC
New Jersey
New York
Rhode Island
Connecticut
Massachusetts
Vermont
New Hampshire
Maine

I left that out because it's only one delegate, but I do think Obama will get one Nebraska delegate.

Thanks for the map!

I think would be attainable if Clinton were the nominee.

For what it's worth.

WV HAD to choose between the "white lady & the black guy", but in Nov they will choose the "old white guy"...bank on it..

If she's the candidate, I think MO will go red..

did on the actual voting day? Who knows that breakdown

so he did not have a chance of overtaking her..

"You are the weakest link"

"Goodbye"


:rofl:

enjoy your new friends in my cellar :) Cheetos are on me :hi:

You said "banked."

Made me think of shortlived imported game show, "The Weakest Link."

sorry I got snippy :hi:

Were they real Cheetoes or that "Baked" crap?

:rofl:

but there is a BIG union vote in NV, and Las vegas is quite liberal :)

on vacations this summer, Nevada will feel the burn even more by Nov.

I still believe many Americans will vote their pocketbook.

and they always bitch about the room rates :)

My map looks like this, but it's only a current snapshot of the race. In reality I think Obama will carry NH and OH, and possibly FL, MO and VA as well.

who would put her over the top.. and were they all that "loved" when they were there??

This is my first post in GD: Primaries. I think your map is what we Democrats will realistically win with. Maybe a few change. I think it will be extremely hard to win any southern state after all the GOP attacks, mischief and vote suppression. I've seen people speculation about landslides, but I doubt that will happen. We just need to hold onto almost all Kerry states and flip 2 or 3 Bush swing states.

Honestly I wouldn't mind losing the popular vote but winning the electoral college by 20+, because all the self righteous blowhards who crowed that popular vote was meaningless in 2000 would now be trying to say the election should be overturned to align with the popular vote. If Kerry had won Ohio (or if everyone in Ohio who tried to vote had their vote counted), this would've been the case last time.

I'd love for Obama to win many red states, but we can never underestimate the stupidity of the voting public after Bush got more votes in 2004 when he should've lost by 20%.