Andrea Mitchell said the Obama campaign said they might lose SD and that Montana is competitive. She

also said they expect a Clinton blowout in Puerto Rico. Chuck Todd said that Obama might roll out SD's on Monday so that he can claim victory on Tuesday night during prime time coverage (because of the elections). He said it depends on how big Clinton's win is in PR. He said some of the SD's might be too queasy if there is a landslide. There was no doubt that Obama would win but they are not sure how it will play out. Oh and he said he talked to some of the TOP ranking House members and said Obama is banking them up to come out after the primary is over. Man...I can't wait until this time next week.

Obama has a lead in Montana, and South Dakota was competetive, and PR would be a blowout? Though I guess, it's not really much of a difference.

to be spending a lot of time in SD the next few days. I guess internals are saying they could win it.

and both could win it or lose it, but that's just me, lol. But I agree, Clinton is going to try and spend more time there to flip it. But Andrea def said Montana is still a likely win for Obama.

initially everyone was saying it was an Obama state (like there was no contest). I know I'm probably making more of it because I'm worried about it. I know she can't catch up but I really want him to end strong (with two wins).

giving us an update, and I feel like we're kind of in the dark more about Montana and SD, haha. Oh well, I think he will do well in both states.

It's why she spent so much time there, and why they sent Bill Clinton on a Tobacco Road Blitz for days on end.

Obama won North Carolina by 14 points. Maybe it's a bad idea to have Mark Penn simultaneously running your campaign and providing your internal polling, eh? It's a rather self-sustaining arrangement.

so no one can scream misogyny.

We had a women win the Dem primary for US Senate, beating her male opponent,
we had a women win the Dem primary for the Gubenatorial contest.

Some SD's might be queasy if there's a landslide in Puerto Rico, which isn't even a damn state.

Why does PR even GET a primary?

see it that way too. Who knows? :(

They only exist to serve The Empire.

Bombs Away!
:patriot:
The World's Only Superpower

My predictions.

...Not that it matters. Victory is Obama's.

No substance, as usual.

What exactly do you dispute?

:patriot:

Because you don't care how bad you beat the ass that isn't yours!!

At least, that's how we say it out here in Idaho!!

A superdelegate is going to rethink Obama because he can't win Puerto Rico? How many electoral votes do they have again? Makes no sense whatsoever. :rofl:

They're very important in that regard.

Puerto Rico’s Moment in the Sun

By MICHAEL JANEWAY
Published: May 22, 2008

The Prediction Markets are RIGHT NOW speculating that Sen. Obama has between a 93.1% and 97.0% chance of winning South Dakota

And for Sen. Clinton the Prediction Markets are RIGHT NOW speculating a 4% and 6.9% chance of Winning the South Dakota primary



-------------

For Montana the Prediction Markets are speculating that Sen. Obama has between a 91.2% and 95.2% chance of winning the Montana Primary.

While the Predictions Markets are speculating that Sen. Clinton RIGHT NOW has between a 2.1% and 6.0% chance of winning the Montana Primary



------------

So if you REALLY believe that Clinton can win in South Dakota and Montana - this is the chance of your life time.

You can be rich by Wednesday morning!!!!

http://www.intrade.com/jsp/intrade/contractSearch/

he should be spending more time campaigning in the two remaining states and Puerto Rico.

had Obama up 12.

http://missoulian.com/articles/2008/05/25/news/local/news02.txt

It depends upon what the definition of "competitive" is. :-)

"In a closer look at the Democratic poll primary results, Obama leads Clinton among every subgroup except in Eastern Montana.

Obama is ahead of Clinton among men by 58 percent to 33 percent and among women by 48 percent to 36 percent, the poll showed.

Voters younger than 50 favor Obama by 56 percent to 30 percent, while those 50 and older back Obama 49 percent to 39 percent, it showed. The rest are undecided.

In the 18 counties in Western Montana, Obama holds a commanding 62 percent to 25 percent lead over Clinton, the poll showed. These counties include Gallatin, Flathead, Lewis and Clark, Missoula, Ravalli and Silver Bow.

Clinton leads Obama 47 percent to 40 percent in the 38 counties designated as Eastern Montana in the poll. These counties include Cascade and Yellowstone.

"Obviously, Obama is the favorite," said Brad Coker, managing director of Mason-Dixon Polling & Research. "We're seeing the same patterns we're seeing elsewhere. His strength is with male voters and voters under 50. Clinton does better but still trails with voters over 50 and with women.""

link:

http://www.billingsgazette.net/articles/2008/05/25/news/state/26-statepoll_s.txt

think he has a pretty good shot at winning that too.

It's not like it's a test of electability or anything...they don't even vote in US elections!

Because there are NO MORE PRIMARIES!!!!!!!!

What is she going to do, cry?

She can't get enough pledged delegates to catch Obama now even if she wins all 3 states by 100%!!!!

It's over, Obama is banking super delegates to take him over the 2210 threshold!!!

Ka-fucking-boom!!