Presently DemConWatch has Obama with a 199 Delegate lead: 1979 to 1780, just one away from 200, which, by all likelihood, will happen before tomorrow, and certainly before May 31. Another interesting tidbit according to DCW: Obama has 18 of the 36 uncommitted delegates from Michigan. These 18 have committed their support to Obama should they be seated. DCW also states that 30 of the known 31 delegates (they can't find the names of 5 of them) have been reported to support Obama.
More details on the numbers here:
http://demconwatch.blogspot.com/2008/05/michigan-36-obama-gets-18.htmlGiven the fact that Obama has asked his supporters to *not* protest or in any way demonstrate at the RCB meeting in DC (as reported on KOS here:
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/5/27/143533/931/88/523677 and the fact that the DNC has recommended to the RCB to not seat more than half the delegates from FL and MI reveals that the Obama camp knows something. And it's something good.
I'm certainly looking forward to the nominating process to be complete by mid June and moving onto the General Election. If Clinton feels she must continue on toward the Convention in August, I think she will be met with great resistance and sound defeat. It could jeopardize her reputation and senate seat more than any of the awful things she's already done during this campaign.
UPDATE: With the latest Guam delegate (reported at The Page
http://thepage.time.com/ Guam SD Pangelinan pushes Obama over the 200 delegate lead mark. This is not yet reported on DCW.