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DNC lawyers say FL and MI must forfeit "at least half their delegates".. not half vote for each.

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madfloridian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-29-08 04:31 PM
Original message
DNC lawyers say FL and MI must forfeit "at least half their delegates".. not half vote for each.
Edited on Thu May-29-08 04:55 PM by madfloridian
There is a difference, and these two articles point out what is likely to happen on Saturday. I seriously doubt that the Rules Committee will go against their own lawyers.

DNC Lawyers Rule Against Clinton

Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton's prospects of persuading Democratic officials to override party rules and recognize all delegates selected in the Florida and Michigan primaries suffered a setback yesterday after lawyers for the party ruled that no more than half of those delegations could be legally recognized.

Democratic National Committee lawyers wrote in a memo that the two states must forfeit at least half of their delegates as punishment for holding primaries earlier than DNC rules allowed. Clinton (N.Y.) prevailed in both contests, although the Democratic candidates had agreed not to campaign in Florida and Michigan, and Sen. Barack Obama removed his name from the Michigan ballot.


MSNBC's First Read did a good job of clarifying the difference between forfeiting half the delegates and allowing full delegates one half vote each.

The circus comes to town

The circus comes to town: Speaking of drama, Saturday's DNC rules committee hearing is promising to be a potential circus, as Clinton supporters appear to be preparing for fairly loud protests -- something the Obama campaign is reminding reporters that they could do but are choosing not to. The Clinton campaign is denying fanning the protest front, but they aren't discouraging the demonstrations either. And then there are the conspiracy theories popping up in the left blogosphere that Republicans will be secretly showing up Saturday in order to cause chaos and make the party look ridiculous on national TV.

As for the actual meeting itself, there's one more angle you ought to be aware of: a 50% cut and a halving of the delegates is not the same thing. For instance, if Florida delegates are seated in their entirety, but only have their vote counted as a .5, then Clinton will net approximately 19 delegates out of the state. But if the delegation is cut in half, that's done in every congressional district as well as statewide, then suddenly Clinton's advantage is only a net of six. That's right, the complicated nature of the DNC delegate selection process will be a good reminder to math majors everywhere that a 50% cut is not the same as a halving of an individual number. Go figure...


I do not even pretend to understand that math, but Chuck Todd apparently believes in it. He has done a trustworthy job so far.

I think the inevitable nature of what will take place this week is beginning to come together....especially with the dismissal of the next to the last lawsuit against the DNC by FL.




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Name removed Donating Member (0 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-29-08 04:33 PM
Response to Original message
1. Deleted message
Message removed by moderator. Click here to review the message board rules.
 
npincus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-29-08 04:44 PM
Response to Reply #1
6. eeeeew... f*cking gross.
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SpiralHawk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-29-08 04:37 PM
Response to Original message
2. "Further, Mercury is now retrograde. Smirk." - Ronald Reagan's Dead Republicon Astrologer
Edited on Thu May-29-08 04:38 PM by SpiralHawk
"And every republicon occultist knows what that means. Smirk."

- Ronald Reagan's Dead Republicon Astrologer*


* Courageously channeled by Spiral Hawk from the vast netherworld of republicon occultism
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housewolf Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-29-08 04:38 PM
Response to Original message
3. "NOT half vote for each"
Oh, that's an interesting wrinkle! That would mean that all the delegate counts would need to be re-calculated.

Interesting. I'll be very curious to see how this works out.

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mac2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-29-08 04:39 PM
Response to Original message
4. DNC lawyers hired by who exactly? Their own lawyers?
Edited on Thu May-29-08 04:41 PM by mac2
Republicans? You mean the same lawyers who approved the Patriot Act, Military Commissions Act, and Supreme Court support to give Bush votes but not Gore?

Trustworthy job of negating delegates of MI and FL from the party?

They rule against the Democratic voters of FL and MI not Hillary Clinton. Against all of us really.

Who are you fooling?
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napi21 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-29-08 04:42 PM
Response to Original message
5. OK, so I'm stupid. I don't understand this calculation. How does
a candidate's # go from 19 to 6?
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muryan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-29-08 04:50 PM
Response to Reply #5
9. Theres a difference in overall delegates if you tally by vote
as opposed to by delegate. Thats based on some districts getting more delegates than others. So its better for Hillary if they strike half the delegates (what they'll do), better for Obama if they strike half the votes.
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mac2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-29-08 09:50 PM
Response to Reply #5
15. Fuzzy math.
They're hoping you won't notice.
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Blue_Roses Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-29-08 10:25 PM
Response to Reply #5
18. your not stupid
your in the majority--they don't make sense to many of us:crazy:
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npincus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-29-08 04:47 PM
Response to Original message
7. so, it's good, right?
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harun Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-29-08 04:50 PM
Response to Reply #7
8. Obama has the majority of the delegates, so it doesn't matter either way (n/t)
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NotThisTime Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-29-08 04:51 PM
Response to Reply #7
10. Well, it's a good thing for Obama, none of it is good for Clinton, even 100% wouldn't be enough
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remember2000forever Donating Member (594 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-29-08 04:55 PM
Response to Original message
11. Doesn't This REEK of The Past 2000 Presidential Election?
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mac2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-29-08 09:51 PM
Response to Reply #11
16. Coups continue
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sybylla Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-29-08 05:05 PM
Response to Original message
12. So Chuck Todd didn't get the memo?
Usually he's up on the rules. Half the delegates is half the delegates. Not half the votes.

Personally, I think there should be no adjustment of the original decision. But if there is, I hope the rules give the committee flexibility to ban the supers first. They're the ones who created the mess in the first place.

Thanks, once again, madfloridian, for keeping us all up to date on this. :toast:
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madfloridian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-29-08 08:30 PM
Response to Original message
13. Salon covers this more today.
http://www.salon.com/news/feature/2008/05/30/dnc_meeting/


"Despite desperate cries from the Hillary Clinton camp to count every delegate from these two outlaw primaries, which she won, the contours of a half-a-loaf deal are already in place, according to Democratic insiders. Key figures on the Rules Committee informally agreed by telephone Wednesday night to seat the entire Florida delegation based on the Jan. 29 primary, but to give them each only half a vote. The same principle would be applied to Michigan, but there are still unresolved complications over how to handle the "Uncommitted" delegates chosen in the Jan. 15 primary in which Barack Obama's name was not even on the ballot."

"Under this 50 percent compromise, the beleaguered Clinton would gain a 28-delegate edge (19 from Florida and nine from Michigan), not counting the half-votes from the 53 superdelegates from the two rogue states. With Obama nearly 200 delegates ahead and the clock nearing midnight for Clinton, the Rules Committee's verdict is likely only briefly to delay the anointment of a Democratic nominee. That margin explains why the Obama campaign is now willing to be partially accommodating. "The fairest resolution, since neither of us campaigned in these states, would be a 50-50 distribution," said David Plouffe, Obama's campaign manager, during a Wednesday conference call with reporters. "We're obviously now agreed to accept some outcome that gives her delegates."


There is a comment from staunch Clinton supporter Tina Flournay and another Clinton supporter, Don Fowler.

Former Democratic national chairman Don Fowler, who is an expert on party rules, offered a puckish, but highly probable, forecast about Saturday's meeting: "We're going to settle it peacefully, I think. There'll be some strident remarks, maybe some by me, and we'll seat about half the delegates. Not as much as Hillary wants, but some. Then after six or eight hours, we'll kiss and make up and go home."

.."Even Tina Flournoy -- a top Clinton advisor and a longtime member of the Rules Committee who publicly advocates restoring all the delegates -- acknowledged the need to deter states in the future from elbowing their way to the front of the line. "I don't think any state in 2012 will want to go through what Michigan and Florida have gone through in the last year and a half," Flournoy told reporters during a Wednesday conference call by the Clinton campaign.


They all talk as though the 50% seating and the .5 vote are the same thing.

Is Chuck Todd right or wrong?






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mac2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-29-08 09:49 PM
Response to Reply #13
14. Salon article.
I haven't paid attention to Salon for a long time. Never liked their DLC attitude.
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Blue_Roses Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-29-08 10:23 PM
Response to Original message
17. omg...
:crazy: my head is spinning...the numbers --THE NUMBERS!

I always hated Math...please make the pain STOP!:argh:
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mac2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-29-08 10:27 PM
Response to Reply #17
19. In Obama land there are 57 states?
Edited on Thu May-29-08 10:35 PM by mac2
Fuzzy math indeed. 57 or one state more...Alaska and Hawaii to visit.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EpGH02DtIws

A friend of mine says there really are more states than that...if you count Mexico and Canada..Cuba, etc. in their Americas Union.

Obama and Bush need to sit down and get "eduated" about our country.

Yes...he's tied but why say that when he is confused? Where is that speech writer anyway? He's lost without him or are we?
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CalGator Donating Member (517 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-29-08 10:34 PM
Response to Reply #19
20. 50+guam + pr +dc +as +vi +dems abroad...
dunno what you are trying to make a point about but there are 56 areas voting--give or take
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mac2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-29-08 11:10 PM
Response to Reply #20
22. Areas? The states are areas?
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AZ Criminal JD Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-29-08 10:42 PM
Response to Original message
21. Interesting you selectively left out the other part of the lawyers opinion.
They also said that none of Michigan's delegates could be given to Obama. Why did you leave that out of your OP?
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mac2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-29-08 11:11 PM
Response to Reply #21
23. He didn't win Florida either.
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madfloridian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-29-08 11:12 PM
Response to Reply #21
24. Could you post that quote? I went back and looked and don't see it.
Please do. I may have read it differently.

"Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton's prospects of persuading Democratic officials to override party rules and recognize all delegates selected in the Florida and Michigan primaries suffered a setback yesterday after lawyers for the party ruled that no more than half of those delegations could be legally recognized.

Democratic National Committee lawyers wrote in a memo that the two states must forfeit at least half of their delegates as punishment for holding primaries earlier than DNC rules allowed. Clinton (N.Y.) prevailed in both contests, although the Democratic candidates had agreed not to campaign in Florida and Michigan, and Sen. Barack Obama removed his name from the Michigan ballot."


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madfloridian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-29-08 11:18 PM
Response to Reply #21
25. I will wait for the quote.
And please do not accuse me of trying to mislead. I may make mistakes, but I do not intentionally try to mislead.

You always do that to me. I would like you to stop, please.
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AZ Criminal JD Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-30-08 08:01 PM
Response to Reply #25
26. The comments on Michigan begin at about the 10th paragraph
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madfloridian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-30-08 08:15 PM
Response to Reply #26
27. You are posting a different source. Why did you sound accusatory?
Why did you not use the same source I did? I will read your source, but you need to apologize.
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madfloridian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-30-08 08:39 PM
Response to Reply #26
28. Now wait...that is the Clinton campaign saying no MI votes for Obama.
"Some have suggested a fair solution would be to give Obama the uncommitted delegates from Michigan, but the Clinton campaign maintains Obama should not get any of the state's pledged delegates."

Where do you see the DNC lawyers saying that?

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