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Hillary CAN NOT win the "popular vote" by any fair measure

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ButterflyBlood Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-30-08 12:24 AM
Original message
Hillary CAN NOT win the "popular vote" by any fair measure
Not that a fair measure is what Team Hillary's using with their argument that we should include the results in Michigan giving Obama nothing yet exclude the results from four caucuses, but whatever:

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/05/turnout-in-puerto-rico.html

Including Michigan and giving the uncommitted to Obama plus caucus estimates, Obama currently leads this metric by 184k votes. With 500k turnout, she'd need 68.4% of Puerto Rico to break even. If Obama were to win by 50k in Montana + South Dakota, this number becomes 75.4%.

It's not going to happen. Game over.
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Ashy Larry Donating Member (900 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-30-08 01:09 AM
Response to Original message
1. Yeah,
but you're talking about what's true in reality.
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ButterflyBlood Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-30-08 01:12 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. Hillary and co. do live somewhere else admittedly
As proven by Hillary is 44.
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papapi Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-30-08 01:58 AM
Response to Original message
3. The 'popular vote' is meaningless and uncalculable. The nominee...
...with the most delegates wins the primary.
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casus belli Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-30-08 02:00 AM
Response to Original message
4. I'd have a hell of a lot more respect for her if she just said...
"We're behind, but we're optimistic". What's so hard about that? I don't know what she thinks she stands to gain from mischaracterizing the race using fantasy metrics.
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