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Should the White House support a Republican or Democrat for U.S. Senator in Pennsylvania?

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Better Believe It Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-31-09 02:19 PM
Original message
Poll question: Should the White House support a Republican or Democrat for U.S. Senator in Pennsylvania?
Credible reports are surfacing indicating the White House and the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee are trying to shove Representative Sestak out of running in the primary.
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DrToast Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-31-09 02:27 PM
Response to Original message
1. Source?
Credible reports are surfacing indicating the White House and the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee are trying to shove Representative Sestak out of running in the primary.


Source?
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Better Believe It Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-31-09 02:33 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. No problem. Check out the DU post with links
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DrToast Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-31-09 02:41 PM
Response to Reply #2
7. Thanks. n/t
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ClarkUSA Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-31-09 02:35 PM
Response to Original message
3. Who's the Republican you're referencing? Spector is a conservaDem like DLC New Democrat Sestak now.
Edited on Sun May-31-09 02:38 PM by ClarkUSA
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Better Believe It Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-31-09 02:45 PM
Response to Reply #3
10. Spector is a conservative Republican at heart

The only reason why Spector changed party registration was because he had no chance of being re-elected to the Senate as a Republican.

Spector's only concern is his career in the Senate.

His political "principals" change according to which way the wind is blowing and depends upon what his corporate masters demands are at any moment in time.

You have more than a few "Democratic" blue dog Senators who could and would change their registration to Republican just as easily if it became necessary to retain their Senate seats.

So using the term "Democratic" for Spector and so-called "moderate" blue dog Democrats is meaningless and just confuses people.
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ClarkUSA Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-31-09 02:56 PM
Response to Reply #10
11. Wrong. Nate Silver says Sestak is actually more conservative than Specter via voting records.
Edited on Sun May-31-09 02:56 PM by ClarkUSA
"For the time being, however, progressive Democrats have ample reason to be wary of Specter. Their problem is that Joe Sestak, the PA-7 Congressman who has refused to rule out a primary challenge, might not be any better from the standpoint of progressive policy.

In fact, it's plausible that he could be a bit worse. ProgressivePunch.org ranks Sestak as the 158th most progressive member out of 221 non-freshman Democrats, and notes that he's an order of magnitude or so more conservative than you'd expect of a Congressman from his Democratic-leaning district. Sestak's DW-NOMINATE score in the 110th Congress was -.287 on a scale that runs from -1 for extremely liberal to 0 for moderate; this is actually slightly more conservative than the score that we'd projected for Specter, which was -.303. The National Journal, moreover, found that Sestak took the liberal position only 63 percent of the time in the votes they tracked in 2007.


Nor would a primary challenge be without its downsides. For one thing, Sestak would have to give up his seat in the House in order to challenge Specter. Although the Democrat would still be favored in an open seat race in PA-7, which is 3 points more Democratic than the nation as a whole, giving up the incumbency advantage might reduce their odds of retaining the seat from, say, 95 percent to 75 percent."

Link: http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2009/05/is-sestak-right-choice-for-left.html


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Better Believe It Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-31-09 03:22 PM
Response to Reply #11
12. Wrong: The AFL-CIO Voting Record indicates just the opposite of Nate Silver's claim
Edited on Sun May-31-09 03:22 PM by Better Believe It
The actual voting record compiled by the AFL-CIO Government Affairs Department indicates that on issues affecting working people, Senator Spector has voted for labor issues only 61% of the time while Sestak has voted in support of labor's liberal issues 97% of the time.

That's a huge difference.

You can check out their actual lifetime votes on legislation at:

http://www.aflcio.org/issues/legislativealert/votes/vr_all.cfm

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ClarkUSA Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-31-09 03:23 PM
Response to Reply #12
13. Your cherry picking is duly noted but Nate Silver overall analysis is not flattering to Sestak.
Edited on Sun May-31-09 03:23 PM by ClarkUSA
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Better Believe It Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-31-09 03:25 PM
Response to Reply #13
14. You didn't even bother to check out their actual voting records and you wish to comment on them?
Edited on Sun May-31-09 03:29 PM by Better Believe It
Do you also write movie reviews without having seen the movie?

After you've actually done some fact checking I'll look forward to your comments.

Why you didn't even click on the AFL-CIO link and you expect to be taken seriously!!!!
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ClarkUSA Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-31-09 03:54 PM
Response to Reply #14
15. I did via Nate Silver's must-read: "Is Sestak the Right Choice for the Left?" (quotes and link -->)
Edited on Sun May-31-09 04:05 PM by ClarkUSA
Imbedded links to detailed analysis of Specter's and Sestak's complete (not cherry picked) voting records are in the original article:
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2009/05/is-sestak-right-choice-for-left.html

It's very early in Arlen Specter's career as a Democrat, and we will have to see his positioning evolves on other agenda items. Past party-switchers have tended to change their voting patterns in relatively meaningful ways following their conversions. It seems plausible that Specter would be reluctant to change his positions on issues which were already percolating on the Senate's agenda at the time of his party switch, and on which he had already articulated a position, but that he will become more liberal in the coming months.

For the time being, however, progressive Democrats have ample reason to be wary of Specter. Their problem is that Joe Sestak, the PA-7 Congressman who has refused to rule out a primary challenge, might not be any better from the standpoint of progressive policy.

In fact, it's plausible that he could be a bit worse. ProgressivePunch.org ranks Sestak as the 158th most progressive member out of 221 non-freshman Democrats, and notes that he's an order of magnitude or so more conservative than you'd expect of a Congressman from his Democratic-leaning district. Sestak's DW-NOMINATE score in the 110th Congress was -.287 on a scale that runs from -1 for extremely liberal to 0 for moderate; this is actually slightly more conservative than the score that we'd projected for Specter, which was -.303. The National Journal, moreover, found that Sestak took the liberal position only 63 percent of the time in the votes they tracked in 2007.


Nor would a primary challenge be without its downsides. For one thing, Sestak would have to give up his seat in the House in order to challenge Specter. Although the Democrat would still be favored in an open seat race in PA-7, which is 3 points more Democratic than the nation as a whole, giving up the incumbency advantage might reduce their odds of retaining the seat from, say, 95 percent to 75 percent.


More at the link above.


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Better Believe It Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-31-09 04:08 PM
Response to Reply #15
16. So you don't think legislation that impacts the retired and working people is very important
Edited on Sun May-31-09 04:10 PM by Better Believe It
That's cherry picking by the labor movement!

I think true progressives would totally disagree with you.

You're hostile to the labor movements issues .... after all .... those issues only impact the overwhelming majority of people who actually work for a living or have retired from honest work.

I've dealt with anti-labor "liberals" who claim to be liberal on issues that don't affect working people. They just don't like unions.

I understand where you're coming from.

My discussion with you is over.





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ClarkUSA Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-31-09 04:18 PM
Response to Reply #16
18. Strawman arguments will not distract from the fact that Sestak is a DLC New Democrat conservaDem...
Edited on Sun May-31-09 04:26 PM by ClarkUSA
... who's more conservative than Specter when considering his overall voting record as per Nate Silver's excellent analysis. In terms of credibility, Nate Silver has you beat by 1000 light years, so your cherry picked spin is an epic fail.




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Better Believe It Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-31-09 05:40 PM
Response to Reply #18
21. Nate Silver has the AFL-CIO voting record beat ??? !!!!
Edited on Sun May-31-09 05:53 PM by Better Believe It
Since Mr. Silver can turn Senator Spector into some sort of progressive Democratic liberal, can Mr. Silver also turn water into wine and spam into filet mignon?

"In terms of credibility, Nate Silver has you beat by 1000 light years, so your cherry picked spin is an epic fail."

Perhaps you just failed to notice that I didn't "cherry pick" the votes cast by Sestak and Spector. In fact, if you would actually read a post before commenting on it, you would know that the voting record picks were made by the AFL-CIO, not me.

Perhaps your conservative, pro-Spector, anti-labor bias blinded you to that fact.

Spector now opposes the EFCA (that's a pro-worker bill that will enable workers to join labor unions) and his most notable "accomplishment" this year was joining two other Republicans to successfully rip the guts out of the stimulus bill. Do people really need to remind you of how the original bill proposed by the House was weakened by Republican Senator Spector and company or do you prefer to just ignore those little facts?







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ClarkUSA Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-31-09 06:23 PM
Response to Reply #21
22. Silver's contention that Sestak is actually more conservative than Specter is well-sourced.
Edited on Sun May-31-09 06:32 PM by ClarkUSA
Your baseless BS hyperbole notwithstanding, the truth is President Obama's stimulus bill would never have passed without Specter's support and his persuading Sens. Snowe and Collins to vote "aye". I also predict Specter will end up voting for EFCA, despite what he says now.

Your wholly fallacious statements aside, I have no problem with Sestak running against Specter in the primary. Neither does Nate Silver. May the best conservaDem win. Yes, both Specter and Sestak are conservaDems, with Sestak slightly to the right of Specter, according to the multiple unbiased sources that Nate Silver notes in his analysis. Nothing you say will change the facts, especially since you have offered no sourced proof of your own to back up your braying rhetoric. Sestak is a DLC New Democrat. He's no liberal/progressive. He just wants to milk the base by sounding like one.

Too bad a true liberal can't run and win in 2010, but unlike you, I am not one to delude myself or others. I like to stick to the pertinent facts, not cherry picked unsourced allegations.


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Better Believe It Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-31-09 06:40 PM
Response to Reply #22
24. You're right. You needed Republicans to pass a weakened stimulus bill.
Edited on Sun May-31-09 06:44 PM by Better Believe It
But, we didn't need Republicans to pass a strong stimulus bill!

That would have required a winning strategy and fight against the Republicans, something that some Democrats just hate and have no experience in.

"President Obama's stimulus bill would never have passed without Specter"

The problem was President Obama never presented a stimulus bill to either the House or Senate. I wish he had.

The House wrote their own bill and three Republican Senators wrote the Senate bill which considerably weakened the House version.

You claim the Senate could not pass an effective stimulus bill written by Democrats.

Did the Republicans win the 2008 election and are not Democrats running the Senate?

Oh .... I suppose you might say the Republicans would threaten a filibuster against an effective Democratic written stimulus bill that would jump start the economy.

So what? It seems that a mere threat of a Republican filibuster is enough to send some Democrats to their knees shaking in fear.

And if Republicans really wanted to be labeled obstructionists and further their isolation by engaging in a real Senate floor debate against a plan to prevent an economic depression, let them! All filibusters end.

I think President Obama could have rounded up 50 Democratic votes to pass a strong stimulus bill and surely at some point 60 votes would have been obtained to end any genuine Republican filibuster.

And don't forget, the Democrats always can use the so-called "nuclear option" to immediately kill any Republican filibusters.

However, that might be too bold for some Democratic Senators who love rolling over and playing dead whenever Republicans give them a dirty look or snarl at them.



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quiller4 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-31-09 08:43 PM
Response to Reply #10
27. Spector began political life as a Democrat, left the party after
he prosecuted Democratic party bosses for graft and corruption, then ran for office as a progressive Republican. At the time that he became a Republican it was a much more liberal party in PA than was the machine-controlled Democratic party. I don't doubt that Spector was concerned about his political survival when he returned to the Democratic party this year. But if you examine his voting record over the his Senate career, it is clear that he has challenged "corporate masters" on many occasions. Whether you like it or not he is a Democrat. Out party has a big tent and under that tent there is room for progressive, liberal and moderate.
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Enrique Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-31-09 02:37 PM
Response to Original message
4. they should support Sestak, but they're supporting Specter
now what?
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argonaut Donating Member (246 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-31-09 02:38 PM
Response to Original message
5. They should support Specter.
Big tent, big tent.
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quiller4 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-31-09 02:43 PM
Response to Reply #5
9. Agreed and Spector is the expressed choice of both Ds and
independents in PA. He has actually picked up points in the polls since Sestak announced.
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AlinPA Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-31-09 06:45 PM
Response to Reply #9
26. He is using us and will switch back after the election. We can't trust him.
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invictus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-31-09 02:39 PM
Response to Original message
6. The whole Democratic Party should support life-long Democrat Joe Sestak.
Edited on Sun May-31-09 02:40 PM by invictus
nt
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bigwillq Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-31-09 02:42 PM
Response to Original message
8. They should support Sestak (nt)
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Politicalboi Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-31-09 04:11 PM
Response to Original message
17. Specter only changed parties
To save his own ass. It's time for Mr. Magic Bullet to go home.
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camera obscura Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-31-09 04:34 PM
Response to Original message
19. No one should endorse a primary candidate - not the White House, the DSCC, the DNC
It's anti-democratic.

It is especially nonsensical here, as the Pennsylvania Democratic party is bigger than ever, and represents a wide range of views. This is not going to be a case of a select group of voters picking the nominee.
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jesus_of_suburbia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-31-09 04:43 PM
Response to Original message
20. They should support Sestak UNLESS Pres Obama made a deal with Specter.
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chicago legal pro Donating Member (169 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-31-09 06:40 PM
Response to Original message
23. If the Republicans get 50 or more Spector will switch back
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AlinPA Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-31-09 06:43 PM
Response to Original message
25. Specter will switch back to republican after the election. He is trying to use PA Democrats
and will stab us in the back.
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Better Believe It Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-31-09 08:45 PM
Response to Reply #25
28. You understand something that some political novices here just don't get
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depakid Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-31-09 10:00 PM
Response to Original message
29. Obama should have stayed neutral in Connecticut, too
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ClarkUSA Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jun-01-09 12:48 PM
Response to Reply #29
31. What are you talking about?
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Better Believe It Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jun-01-09 12:40 PM
Response to Original message
30. Only 9% think White House should support Specter. Good! That's what I was hoping for
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