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With SP Moon currently beginning it's conjunction to John Edwards' Natal Jupiter, one can expect him to have the opportunity to do better in the February 5th Primaries than many would have anticipated a month ago. I don't know -- looking at the transits that immediately follow and continue throughout the rest of the month and into March -- if he does well enough to have a realistic shot at earning the necessary delegate-count, but he continues (with the SP Moon conjunct an optimistic Jupiter/Moon natal conjunction until March 1st) to feel relatively good.
Much can be gleaned about the success (or not) of John Edwards on the 5th of February (or Super Tuesday) by looking at what happens to his chart immediately afterward:
Tr. Jupiter snaps into an opposition with his Ascendant as well as being inconjunct his SP (Secondary Progressed) Sun, Tr. Chiron moves inconjunct his Natal Uranus (on February 7th) and Tr. Mars -- having finally turned direct -- now begins to challenge his MC by square. Add to that Tr. Venus moving to conjunct his Natal Chiron as well as inconjunct his Natal Sun three days later (on February 8th), it believe it's safe to say that any optimism he's hanging onto is perhaps due more to the SP Moon conjunct his Jupiter -- although dampened by a long Tr. Saturn retrograde square -- and his own fighting spirit and not to the reality of the race on the ground.
The wild card, of course -- as it always is -- is Uranus and, in this case, it's tightly trine his Natal Uranus by 3 minutes! I don't know if a "big win" is supported by the transits and progressions in the rest of the chart, but in some way somehow he may do something that's unexpected and which shakes the field, if only briefly (due to the flash-of-lightning nature of Uranus).
I suspect, at the end of the day, much will be like it was before for John Edwards. And, unfortunately, this suspicion is supported by Tr. Saturn currently involved in a square with his Jupiter/Moon conjunction for the remainder of the February contests, dampening whatever party Uranus trine Natal Uranus and SP Moon conjunct Jupiter try to stir up.
Let's take a look, then, at the Maine Caucus on February 10th.
With Tr. Venus square his Saturn/Neptune conjunction and inconjunct his Pluto and Tr. Saturn continuing it's retrograde journey square his Jupiter/Moon conjunction, there's still a note of tension and challenge in the air. And that Tr. Uranus which may help him with that trine to his Natal Uranus on the 5th has now moved away and begins it's journey into an eventual square with his Sun (but not until mid-March).
Interestingly, Tr. Neptune is one week away from completing a 10-week waning trine (not as powerful as a waxing aspect, but not to be ignored either) with his Saturn/Neptune conjunction as well as his Natal Pluto. I suspect this transit had much to do with his ability to tap into the hopes and dreams of those who work hard (Saturn) for illusory gain (Neptune) and his People Against The Powerful message. But with this long transit ending at about the same time the February Primaries end, his ability to powerfully convey that message may be ending as well. Or at least in the context of this campaign.
Which brings us to February 12 and the DC, Maryland and Virginia contests with their 238 delegates.
I've looked and looked and I don't see much changing in his chart from the 10th. Tr. Mars is still square his MC, Tr. Saturn is still square his natal Jupiter/Moon conjunction (as well as that SP Moon currently conjunct his Natal Jupiter) and Tr. Chiron is still inconjunct his Natal Uranus as it has been since February 7th. In comparison to the charts of the other candidates, I don't think he'll do as well as he needs to in order to realistically stay in the game. Not that he'll leave at this time, but it may become more and more unrealistic mathematically (delegate-wise) looking down the road.
But let's look at February 19 and the contests in Hawaii, Washington and Wisconsin with their 218 delegates to make sure.
Despite what may have been some stirring speeches with the station of Tr. Mercury one degree from a trine with his Jupiter/Moon conjunction, Tr. Saturn -- having moved slowly through it's retrograde phase to square this Jupiter/Moon conjunction -- now officially squares his Moon and, with Tr. Chiron still introducing a frustrating and at times wounding tension in his desire to change (with an inconjunct to his Uranus), I don't know if the Primaries this day will give him the result he'd like.
He DOES have Tr. Mars approaching his Natal Mars for a Mars Return in three days time so he may be "fired up" and energetic, but as the transit is quick (lasting only three days), I don't know if it's enough to make up for the squares and inconjuncts that populate his chart.
But when this Tr. Saturn leaves the square to his Moon, it DOES begin a waning trine to his Natal Venus, so I don't believe he'll drop out at this time, preferring to stay in -- despite whatever odds he may face -- and fight throughout early-March.
By comparison, though, he does have the most troubled chart of the three, so I don't see how exactly he would emerge victorious this time around.
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