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I do not think Gore will run. I am also not convinced Obama is running.
I am less than certain that the IWR will be a big issue in 08. However, it is probable that the debate within the party and outside will be the traditionnal one: diplomacy against military.
This morning, Hillary could not bring herself to oppose sending more troops in Iraq. She started saying they needed a plan, the solution was not military, ..., but, when asked, she did not say: do not send more troops. Biden, on the contrary, said clearly "do not send more troops". We know Kerry can articulate a plan that goes to diplomacy as a solution, but who else can do that will be interesting.
The other aspect will probably be a domestic plan that holds the road. Expect everybody to come with a "universal health plan". Then, when you start to read it, expect that none will actually offer that as "Health is a right", but that most will come out with "health is a duty". I would welcome somebody who does differently, but, unfortunately, this seems to be one of those things Democrats do not want to talk about.
I also expect there will be a dark horse, somebody that people are totally dismissing and who, once he makes his case, will have success. I am not sure who it will be. A governor may be?
Anyway, it will be interesting to see, but I laugh at the prognosticers. It will probably be fun to see what happens in the next year. So many people in the Beltway had annointed Bayh or Warner as probable nominees who will beat Clinton that it is funny to read the columns from a few months ago.
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