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66 days until hurricane season starts, how bad will it be??

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killerbush Donating Member (822 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-26-06 11:17 PM
Original message
66 days until hurricane season starts, how bad will it be??
Just 66 more days until the hurricane season starts again. The folks at accuweather say the upper Texas coast and New England are prone to getting the hurricane strikes. Living in Connecticut, I don't like the sound of that. William Grey, the Colorado State meteorologist says another above average season awaits. Something like 20 names storms 13 hurricanes, and 5 intense hurricanes, (Cat. 3 or higher). And with global warming all but a reality, I think more storms like Katrina and Andrew are pretty much a given.





:scared: :scared:
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babylonsister Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-26-06 11:19 PM
Response to Original message
1. You are a barrel of laughs. nt
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graywarrior Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-26-06 11:21 PM
Response to Original message
2. Geeze, they love the fear thing, don't they?
Unless a hurricane hugs the coast on the way up to NE, the colder water will diminish the winds somewhat. I remember a hurricane in the 50's that hit MA, but it wasn't that bad. I may be wrong, but I don't think hurricanes will hit NE with the same intensity as here in FL.
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killerbush Donating Member (822 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-26-06 11:34 PM
Response to Reply #2
5. My granfather remembered the 1938 hurricane
And it devestated most of Southern New England. So it can happen here.
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graywarrior Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-26-06 11:42 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. Well, the blizzrd in 78 was a combo of 3 storms, one having
hurricane force winds which destroyed alot of the MA coast. But I really have doubts that NE will get hit. If it does, I'll eat my shorts.
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killerbush Donating Member (822 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-26-06 11:47 PM
Response to Reply #6
7. Boxers or briefs???
:rofl: :rofl:
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graywarrior Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-27-06 03:01 PM
Response to Reply #7
14. Briefs.
Less calories.
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babylonsister Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-26-06 11:58 PM
Response to Reply #6
9. It's a bit of a prediction, given the warmer waters of the
northeast this winter, that a biggie could head that way. I did hear that and paid attention as my dad will be on Long Island.
And I happened to be on LI for that blizzard of early 78. I have some really fond memories of that! ;-)
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The Backlash Cometh Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-26-06 11:21 PM
Response to Original message
3. Accuweather?
That's like using Laura Ingraham's 8 day stay in Iraq as a definitive answer on the security issue in that country.

What does NOAA have to say about it?
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Aviation Pro Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-26-06 11:28 PM
Response to Original message
4. Accuweather....
...is also known as InaccurateWeather in the NWS circles. Basically, it's a slicked up commercial web site that uses products that us the taxpayers have already paid for. As far as your question, I spoke to one of the meteorologists at the National Hurricane Center in Miami recently and they have downgraded their original estimate. That's the good news, the bad news is that it has been downgraded to last year's start. The wild card factor this year is the La Nina event that is driving a lot of dry air into the Atlantic basin - dry air abates the strength of hurricanes - but that could change as the season progresses.

One point, if you live in an area that was hit last year make damn sure you remove last year's debris from your property. These are missiles just waiting to happen.
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Warpy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-26-06 11:50 PM
Response to Original message
8. Nobody can predict where storms will hit before one forms
Forecasters are just looking at how long it's been since one hit New England (Bob in 1991) and saying they're overdue.

The Caribbean, Florida, and the Gulf Coast are where you'll still see the big ones. The ones to hit New England always lose some punch as soon as they leave the Gulf Stream north of the mid Atlantic states.
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babylonsister Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-27-06 12:25 AM
Response to Reply #8
10. OK, so what about a bulls-eye on Manhattan,
Warpy? The damage could be surreal.

You are so smart, and I mean that sincerely. I enjoy your posts immensely. :)
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JeffR Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-27-06 12:59 AM
Response to Original message
11. My guess
Hurricanes: bad

FEMA response: catastrophic
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babylonsister Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-27-06 01:18 AM
Response to Reply #11
12. Check post #1. nt
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OneBlueSky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-27-06 04:22 AM
Response to Original message
13. no one can predict, but if there's another Cat 5 hurricane . . .
this year, future history books will have chapters entitled "There Used To Be A City Called New Orleans" . . .
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dogday Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-27-06 03:08 PM
Response to Original message
15. I watched the cars back to back on I-10 and made
the decision to stay and what a good decision it was... I could not believe the panic that occurred in Houston, people died leaving the city... We figured we could hit the highway and drive west before the hurricane ever made it to Houston, why didn't others figure that out? Why did others have to die trying to leave the city in a panic???? Fear is a killer, see what it did here????
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