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Hersh: *’s Case For Hitting Iran Has ‘Shifted,’ Now Focused On ‘Surgical Strikes’ As Way To ‘Sell' I

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babylonsister Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-30-07 12:33 PM
Original message
Hersh: *’s Case For Hitting Iran Has ‘Shifted,’ Now Focused On ‘Surgical Strikes’ As Way To ‘Sell' I
http://thinkprogress.org/2007/09/30/hersh-iran-shifting-targets/

Hersh: Bush’s Case For Hitting Iran Has ‘Shifted,’ Now Focused On ‘Surgical Strikes’ As Way To ‘Sell’ It

Seymour Hersh, The New Yorker’s Pulitzer-Prize winning investigative journalist, writes in a new article entitled “Shifting Targets” that there has been “a significant increase in the tempo of attack planning” for war with Iran inside the Bush administration.

Most significantly, Hersh — who has been warning for months that the administration is seriously plotting for war with Iran — reports the administration has switched its rationale for war. The focus has shifted from a broad bombing attack against Iran’s nuclear facilities to “surgical” strikes again Revolutionary Guard Corps facilities in Tehran and elsewhere.

On CNN’s Late Edition this morning, Hersh said the administration has adopted what it views as a rationale that can win over the public and international allies, while accomplishing its key objective of initiating a military conflict:

You can sell (this approach). It’s more logical. You can say to people, the American people, we’re only hitting those people that we think are trying to hit our boys and the coalition forces. And so that seems to be more sensible. Because the White House thinks they can actually pitch this, this would actually work. In other words, you can do a bombing and not have the world scream at us and also get the British on board.

Watch it at link~

In his article, Hersh writes, “This summer, the White House, pushed by the office of Vice-President Dick Cheney, requested that the Joint Chiefs of Staff redraw long-standing plans for a possible attack on Iran,” emphasizing the shift in rationale. The “shifting emphasis” is “gathering support among generals and admirals in the Pentagon.”

Hersh also reveals:

During a secure videoconference that took place early this summer, the President told Ryan Crocker, the U.S. Ambassador to Iraq, that he was thinking of hitting Iranian targets across the border and that the British “were on board.” At that point, Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice interjected that there was a need to proceed carefully, because of the ongoing diplomatic track. Bush ended by instructing Crocker to tell Iran to stop interfering in Iraq or it would face American retribution.

The White House has even prepared a “Clinton did it too” defense for attacking Iran, according to Hersh. “If Democrats objected, the Administration could say, “Bill Clinton did the same thing; he conducted limited strikes in Afghanistan, the Sudan, and in Baghdad to protect American lives.”
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seemslikeadream Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-30-07 12:36 PM
Response to Original message
1. Shifting Targets The Administration’s plan for Iran. Sy Hersh
Edited on Sun Sep-30-07 12:40 PM by seemslikeadream
They'll listen to you ;)

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=389&topic_id=1944063&mesg_id=1944063

Shifting Targets The Administration’s plan for Iran. Sy Hersh
Posted by seemslikeadream on Sun Sep-30-07 09:27 AM

http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2007/10/08/071008fa_fact_hersh

Shifting Targets
The Administration’s plan for Iran.
by Seymour M. Hersh
October 8, 2007 Text Size:

Plans, Planning In a series of public statements in recent months, President Bush and members of his Administration have redefined the war in Iraq, to an increasing degree, as a strategic battle between the United States and Iran. “Shia extremists, backed by Iran, are training Iraqis to carry out attacks on our forces and the Iraqi people,” Bush told the national convention of the American Legion in August. “The attacks on our bases and our troops by Iranian-supplied munitions have increased. . . . The Iranian regime must halt these actions. And, until it does, I will take actions necessary to protect our troops.” He then concluded, to applause, “I have authorized our military commanders in Iraq to confront Tehran’s murderous activities.”

The President’s position, and its corollary—that, if many of America’s problems in Iraq are the responsibility of Tehran, then the solution to them is to confront the Iranians—have taken firm hold in the Administration. This summer, the White House, pushed by the office of Vice-President Dick Cheney, requested that the Joint Chiefs of Staff redraw long-standing plans for a possible attack on Iran, according to former officials and government consultants. The focus of the plans had been a broad bombing attack, with targets including Iran’s known and suspected nuclear facilities and other military and infrastructure sites. Now the emphasis is on “surgical” strikes on Revolutionary Guard Corps facilities in Tehran and elsewhere, which, the Administration claims, have been the source of attacks on Americans in Iraq. What had been presented primarily as a counter-proliferation mission has been reconceived as counterterrorism.

The shift in targeting reflects three developments. First, the President and his senior advisers have concluded that their campaign to convince the American public that Iran poses an imminent nuclear threat has failed (unlike a similar campaign before the Iraq war), and that as a result there is not enough popular support for a major bombing campaign. The second development is that the White House has come to terms, in private, with the general consensus of the American intelligence community that Iran is at least five years away from obtaining a bomb. And, finally, there has been a growing recognition in Washington and throughout the Middle East that Iran is emerging as the geopolitical winner of the war in Iraq.

During a secure videoconference that took place early this summer, the President told Ryan Crocker, the U.S. Ambassador to Iraq, that he was thinking of hitting Iranian targets across the border and that the British “were on board.” At that point, Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice interjected that there was a need to proceed carefully, because of the ongoing diplomatic track. Bush ended by instructing Crocker to tell Iran to stop interfering in Iraq or it would face American retribution.

At a White House meeting with Cheney this summer, according to a former senior intelligence official, it was agreed that, if limited strikes on Iran were carried out, the Administration could fend off criticism by arguing that they were a defensive action to save soldiers in Iraq. If Democrats objected, the Administration could say, “Bill Clinton did the same thing; he conducted limited strikes in Afghanistan, the Sudan, and in Baghdad to protect American lives.” The former intelligence official added, “There is a desperate effort by Cheney et al. to bring military action to Iran as soon as possible. Meanwhile, the politicians are saying, ‘You can’t do it, because every Republican is going to be defeated, and we’re only one fact from going over the cliff in Iraq.’ But Cheney doesn’t give a rat’s ass about the Republican worries, and neither does the President.”



http://www.counterpunch.com/avnery09292007.html

Do Bush, Cheney & Co. indeed intend to attack Iran?

I don't know, but my suspicion that they might is getting stronger.

Why? Because George Bush is nearing the end of his term of office. If it ends the way things look now, he will be remembered as a very bad - if not the worst - president in the annals of the republic. His term started with the Twin Towers catastrophe, which reflected no great credit on the intelligence agencies, and would come to a close with the grievous Iraq fiasco.

There is only one year left to do something impressive and save his name in the history books. In such situations, leaders tend to look for military adventures. Taking into account the man's demonstrated character traits, the war option suddenly seems quite frightening.

True, the American army is pinned down in Iraq and Afghanistan. Even people like Bush and Cheney could not dream, at this time, of invading a country four times larger than Iraq, with three times the population.

But, quite possibly the war-mongers are whispering in Bush's ear: What are you worrying about? No need for an invasion. Enough to bomb Iran, as we bombed Serbia and Afghanistan. We shall use the smartest bombs and the most sophisticated missiles against the two thousand or so targets, in order to destroy not only the Iranian nuclear sites but also their military installations and government offices. "We shall bomb them back into the stone age," as an American general once said about Vietnam, or "turn their clock back 20 years," as the Israeli Air Force general Dan Halutz said about Lebanon.

That's a tempting idea. The US will only use its mighty Air Force, missiles of all kinds and the powerful aircraft-carriers, which are already deployed in the Persian/Arabian Gulf. All these can be sent into action at any time on short notice. For a failed president approaching the end of his term, the idea of an easy, short war must have an immense attraction. And this president has already shown how hard it is for him to resist temptations of this kind.


* * *

Would this indeed be such an easy operation, a "piece of cake" in American parlance?



http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2007/09/30/wiran230.xml


US trains Gulf air forces for war with Iran
By Tim Shipman in Washington
Last Updated: 12:21am BST 30/09/2007


The American air force is working with military leaders from the Gulf to train and prepare Arab air forces for a possible war with Iran, The Sunday Telegraph can reveal.


An air warfare conference in Washington last week was told how American air chiefs have helped to co-ordinate intelligence-sharing with Gulf Arab nations and organise combined exercises designed to make it easier to fight together.

Gen Michael Mosley, the US Air Force chief of staff, used the conference to seek closer links with allies whose support America might need if President George W Bush chooses to bomb Iran.

Pentagon air chiefs have helped set up an air warfare centre in the United Arab Emirates (UAE) where Gulf nations are training their fighter pilots and America has big bases. It is modelled on the US Air Force warfare centre at Nellis air force base in Nevada.

Jordan and the UAE have both taken part in combined exercises designed to make sure their air forces can fly, and fight, together and with American jets.


The conference was long-planned to discuss developments in air warfare technology, but the question of possible hostilities involving Iran was discussed.

Bruce Lemkin, the American air force deputy under-secretary for international affairs, said: "We need friends and partners with the capabilities to take care of their own security and stability in their regions and, through the relationship, the inter-operability and the will to join us in coalitions when appropriate…

"On its most basic level, it's about flying together, operating together and training together so, if we have to, we can fight together."



http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml ;jsessionid=JIMB01IUIC3JLQFIQMGCFFOAVCBQUIV0?xml=/news/2007/09/30/wiran230.xml


By Tim Shipman
Last Updated: 12:17am BST 30/09/2007



American diplomats have been ordered to compile a dossier detailing Iran's violations of international law that some fear could be used to justify military strikes against the Islamic republic's nuclear programme.

US trains Gulf air forces for war with Iran
Members of the US secretariat in the United Nations were asked earlier this month to begin "searching for things that Iran has done wrong", The Sunday Telegraph has learnt.


Some US diplomats believe the exercise — reminiscent of attempts by vice-president Dick Cheney and the former defence secretary Donald Rumsfeld to build the case against Saddam Hussein before the Iraq war — will boost calls for military action by neo-conservatives inside and outside the administration.

One diplomat revealed the plans for an Iran dossier to Steven Clemons, a fellow with the New America Foundation, a Washington think-tank, who has previously revealed attempts by Mr Cheney's allies to pressurise President George W Bush into war.

He said: "There are people more beholden to the Cheney side who have people searching for things that Iran has done wrong — making the case. They've been given instructions to build a dossier. They've been scouring around for stuff over the last couple of weeks." He recently exposed how a member of Mr Cheney's office used private meetings with neo-conservatives at the American Enterprise think- tank to reveal the vice-president's frustration that Mr Bush had authorised a diplomatic strategy against Iran by his secretary of state, Condoleezza Rice.

Last week, Newsweek magazine went further, claiming that David Wurmser, until last month Mr Cheney's Middle East adviser, had told fellow neo-conservatives that Mr Cheney had considered asking Israel to launch limited missile strikes against the Iranian nuclear site at Natanz. The intention, it was said, would be to provoke a reaction from Teheran that would help justify wider US air strikes.


http://politics.guardian.co.uk/tory2007/story/0,,2180555,00.html
Ros Taylor
Sunday September 30, 2007
Guardian Unlimited


John Bolton: 'I think we have to look at a limited strike against their nuclear facilities.' Photograph Win McNamee/Getty Images.

John Bolton, the former US ambassador to the United Nations, told Tory delegates today that efforts by the UK and the EU to negotiate with Iran had failed and that he saw no alternative to a pre-emptive strike on suspected nuclear facilities in the country.
Mr Bolton, who was addressing a fringe meeting organised by Lord (Michael) Ancram, said that the Iranian president, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, was "pushing out" and "is not receiving adequate push-back" from the west.

"I don't think the use of military force is an attractive option, but I would tell you I don't know what the alternative is.
"Because life is about choices, I think we have to consider the use of military force. I think we have to look at a limited strike against their nuclear facilities."

He added that any strike should be followed by an attempt to remove the "source of the problem", Mr Ahmadinejad.

"If we were to strike Iran it should be accompanied by an effort at regime change ... The US once had the capability to engineer the clandestine overthrow of governments. I wish we could get it back."

The fact that intelligence about Iran's nuclear activity was partial should not be used as an excuse not to act, Mr Bolton insisted.

"Intelligence can be wrong in more than one direction." He asked how the British government would respond if terrorists exploded a nuclear device at home. "'It's only Manchester?' ... Responding after they're used is unacceptable."

Mr Bolton, now a fellow at the conservative thinktank the American Enterprise Institute and the author of a forthcoming book called Surrender is Not an Option, was applauded by delegates when he described the UN as "fundamentally irrelevant".
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Triana Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-30-07 12:36 PM
Response to Original message
2. HA! "Surgical Strikes" - We heard that a few years ago didn't we? (n/t)
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hedgehog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-30-07 12:37 PM
Response to Original message
3. Making a surgical strike against Iran is akin to making a surgical strike
with a pea shooter against a grizzly with a sore tooth
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seemslikeadream Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-30-07 12:42 PM
Response to Original message
4.  I hate all Iranians, US aide tells MPs
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/pages/live/articles/news/news.html?in_article_id=484762&in_page_id=1770

I hate all Iranians, US aide tells MPs



By SIMON WALTERS

Last updated at 21:26pm on 29th September 2007



Britsh MPs visiting the Pentagon to discuss America's stance on Iran and Iraq were shocked to be told by one of President Bush's senior women officials: "I hate all Iranians."


And she also accused Britain of "dismantling" the Anglo-US-led coalition in Iraq by pulling troops out of Basra too soon.

The all-party group of MPs say Debra Cagan, Deputy Assistant Secretary for Coalition Affairs to Defence Secretary Robert Gates, made the comments this month.

Scroll down for more...


Hard line: Debra Cagan stunned the MPs with her comments


The six MPs were taken aback by the hardline approach of the Pentagon and in particular Ms Cagan, one of Mr Bush's foreign policy advisers.

She made it clear that although the US had no plans to attack Iran, it did not rule out doing so if the Iranians ignored warnings not to develop a nuclear bomb.

It was her tone when they met her on September 11 that shocked them most.

The MPs say that at one point she said: "In any case, I hate all Iranians."

Although it was an aside, it was not out of keeping with her general demeanour.

"She seemed more keen on saying she didn't like Iranians than that the US had no plans to attack Iran," said one MP. "She did say there were no plans for an attack but the tone did not fit the words."

Another MP said: "I formed the impression that some in America are looking for an excuse to attack Iran. It was very alarming."

Tory Stuart Graham, who was on the ten-day trip, would not discuss Ms Cagan but said: "It was very sobering to hear from the horse's mouth how the US sees the situation."

Ms Cagan, whose job involves keeping the coalition in Iraq together, also criticised Britain for pulling out troops.

"She said if we leave the south of Iraq, the Iranians will take it over," said one MP.

Another said: "She is very forceful and some of my colleagues were intimidated by her muscular style."

The MPs also saw Henry Worcester, Deputy Director of the Office of Iranian Affairs, who said he favoured talks with Iran.

The Pentagon denied Ms Cagan said she "hated" Iranians.

"She doesn't speak that way," said an official.

But when The Mail on Sunday spoke to four of the six MPs, three confirmed privately that she made the remark and one declined to comment. The other two could not be contacted.



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Emit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-30-07 12:49 PM
Response to Original message
5. Fox News, Freedom's Watch, and Marketing a War with Iran
Edited on Sun Sep-30-07 12:49 PM by Emit
The Fox video this Kos poster links to in this piece is worth taking a peek at (I could barely stand the whole thing -- narrated by Hannity). It's exactly as she makes reference to -- a marketing scheme. Ties right into to your (babylonsister's) post on Freedom's Watch.

Fox News, Freedom's Watch, and Marketing a War with Iran
by beabea
Thu Sep 27, 2007 at 03:50:35 PM PDT
This ominous blockquote from Dr. Barnett Rubin’s excellent Aug. 29 diary Post Labor Day Product Rollout: War with Iran (Cross-Posted at Informed Comment Global Affairs)! really got my attention, so I filed it away...


They (the source's institution) have "instructions" (yes, that was the word used) from the Office of the Vice-President to roll out a campaign for war with Iran in the week after Labor Day; it will be coordinated with the American Enterprise Institute, the Wall Street Journal, the Weekly Standard, Commentary, Fox, and the usual suspects. It will be heavy sustained assault on the airwaves, designed to knock public sentiment into a position from which a war can be maintained. Evidently they don't think they'll ever get majority support for this--they want something like 35-40 percent support, which in their book is "plenty."


...but at the time, I just couldn’t bring myself to believe the administration could really be that insane. However, over the last few days, I’ve seen some things that look to me like an implementation of these "instructions"...

I know that beating the Iran war drum is nothing new for the Fox "News" Channel, but I thought this video clip was exceptionally disturbing even by Fox standards—a video showing what an attack on Iran would (not might) look like.

~snip~

This was followed by "analysis" with überneocon (and leading Iraq War proponent) Michael Ledeen, and a Fox News military analyst, who actually refers to the video as a "promo piece". Promotional, huh?

~snip~

This was also an opportunity for Ledeen to promote his newest book, The Iranian Time Bomb: The Mullah Zealots’ Quest for Destruction, in which he writes that this "administration or the next will likely face a terrible choice: appease a nuclear Iran, or bomb it before their atomic weapons are ready to go."

This book was released September 10 (I guess the 11th would have been too obvious), just days after the Sept. 6 launch of the American Enterprise Institute’s "All or Nothing" campaign to "save the surge". (Which I’m sure was itself planned completely independently of the Petraeus testimony and 9/11 anniversary).

Speaking of connections between "Saving the Surge" and whipping up support for war with Iran, check this out:



Did anybody catch this in Monday’s New York Times?

It's brought to you by our friends at Freedom’s Watch...



More:

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2007/9/27/162944/319

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Imagevision Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-30-07 12:54 PM
Response to Original message
6. Bush: "we're not going to shock n awe them, just surgical strike them so they
don't get a chance to attack Israel ya see...? And most important is the timing, ya'll do understand Bush is not only running the clock out, he's trying to wage a war at the right time so as to effect the outcome of >...another election!
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SteveM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-01-07 04:20 PM
Response to Reply #6
7. I don't think Bush/Cheney care about the next election...
they care about imperial control in the Mid-East and consolidating and centralizing police & military within our country. This is the long-term goal and they mean to accomplish it; the rest is secondary.
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AtomicKitten Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-01-07 04:23 PM
Response to Original message
8. Holy sh*t. This is insane.
Is there a reason the MSM reports sh*t faxed from the White House without vetting any of it, without asking any questions? Accountability. Anyone? Buehler?

Now what was that about the Kyl-Lieberman amendment being no big deal?

My head is exploding.
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