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FDL: Here Comes The Sun (in the form of Al Gore)

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babylonsister Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-13-07 10:50 PM
Original message
FDL: Here Comes The Sun (in the form of Al Gore)
Edited on Tue Nov-13-07 11:20 PM by babylonsister
And, all his proceeds are going back into saving this place we all call home.


Here Comes The Sun
By: Phoenix Woman

Now is the winter of our discontent made glorious summer by this son of man. Albert Arnold Gore Jr., come on down!


You all recall Christy’s posting on Al Gore’s joining this energy venture, right?

Well, it turns out that he and the others involved have picked an excellent time for this — silicon, the basic material used in most solar cells, is about to go into big-time production with a corresponding price drop that in five years (less if oil keeps getting pricier) will make solar energy cheaper than oil, even with oil’s massive subsidies.


Check this out:

Analysts at UBS securities are predicting a quadrupling of polysilicon supply in the next two years as more factories come onstream to supply the voracious market demand for polysilicon wafers.

The single biggest cost to solar cell makers - and the single biggest detriment to solar adoption today - is the high price of raw polysilicon. It is 70% of a solar cell maker’s cost structure. Even companies like Suntech (STP) - which have their entire 2007-08 inventory sold out - must go to the expensive spot market for 25-50% of their wafers. The cost of wafers is what has sunk the share prices of the smaller solar cell makers: China SunEnergy (CSUN), Canadian Solar (CSIQ), Solarfun (SOLF).

All that’s about to change. UBS estimates the cost of raw silicon for wafers is going to fall 66% over the next 3 years, from $300/kg to $100/kg. Solar has overtaken the market share for raw silicon once held by the semiconductor industry (for decades). This acceleration in polysilicon supply will reduce the materials cost for solar cell makers to 25% from today’s 70%. That cost savings ($) can go right to the bottom line: strengthening profit margins, reducing prices for consumers, and making solar adoption more widespread. Solar can be more affordable, more doable, and on a parity with oil in 5 years. Demand for this new energy today is unprecedented. Industry estimates are for 50% year over year growth; yet it is not even 1% of the world’s energy source.


This is for real, folks.

This is what’s going to make it possible to get that solar array on your roof (or a set of condo-association-pleasing shingles) without you needing to forego sending your kids to college.


This is what will cause medium-sized businesses to decide to go solar.

more...

http://www.firedoglake.com/2007/11/13/here-comes-the-sun/
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babylonsister Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-14-07 01:26 AM
Response to Original message
1. pm kick! nt
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Bongo Prophet Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-14-07 03:58 AM
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2. One of many exciting developments
There are also companies such as Konarka, who are printing solar active material onto plastic -flexible and works in low light.

The other part of the equation is battery technology, and there is movement there. This is key to plug in cars and such, while we get cleaner sources for the input side.


The real key, I think, is for federal sanity in getting our crappy grid set up for multiple inputs from several sources (distributed smart grid) and we could be well on our way to adapt to several of the upcoming wind/photo/thermal/hydro/biomass options.

Thank you babylonsister for being a shining example of the good aspect of DU.
This is why I can't leave this place.
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Bongo Prophet Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-14-07 04:01 AM
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3. A less verbose form of Kick


Printable solar inks.
Will there be spray on solutions in the future?
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SoCalDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-14-07 04:09 AM
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4. Too bad our government did not decide to forego a war in iraq, and instead
spent that same money refitting roofs all over the USA with free solar.. That one thing could have eliminated a lot of energy costs and perhaps made the need for some of that oil..

There's a whole lotta sunshine in the desert areas of the US, and I don't know why they have not tried to turn them into huge electricity generating arrays..
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orleans Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-14-07 04:34 AM
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5. great! now all he has to do is run for president! n/t
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sss1977 Donating Member (206 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-14-07 04:41 AM
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6. I wonder
if this price drop has anything to do with Intel's move from silicon to hafnium? With the semiconductor industry moving away from it, the price would need to drop for solar to take over as the main buyer.
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earth mom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-14-07 04:44 AM
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7. This is fabulous news!
:woohoo:
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babylonsister Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-14-07 08:17 AM
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8. .
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Joanne98 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-14-07 09:09 AM
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9. More good news relating to this story!
New Intel chip...no silicon (Not rated) 12-Nov-07 03:49 pm Intel Shifts From Silicon
To Lift Chip Performance
By DON CLARK
November 12, 2007; Page B7


A fundamental shift in chip-manufacturing technology is bearing its first fruits: a collection of Intel Corp. microprocessors that is getting impressive early reviews.

Intel's latest chips, being formally announced today at an event in San Francisco, were built with new manufacturing materials. Intel is building key portions of transistors in the chips from a material called hafnium instead of silicon dioxide, an industry mainstay since the 1960s.

"It's one of the biggest changes in the last 40 years," said David Perlmutter, senior vice president and general manager of Intel's mobility group.

New production processes routinely bring technical and economic benefits. Shrinking the size of transistors and other features lets chips store more data and perform other functions at lower cost.

Earlier in this decade, however, chip makers began running into power problems. Without changes to the materials used in chips, electrical current began leaking as parts of those tiny switches became smaller and smaller -- a problem akin to a faucet that won't shut off reliably.

Getting performance increases by the conventional method of boosting clock speeds -- a measure referring to the timing pulses that coordinate activity on a chip -- began to consume too much electricity and generate too much heat. So Intel and rival Advanced Micro Devices Inc. began competing by squeezing two or four electronic brains on their products, offering what they call dual-core or quad-core microprocessors.


Intel's new process makes it easier to add more such features. It shrinks circuitry dimensions to 45 nanometers, or billionths of a meter, from 65 nanometers. The new materials for making transistors, meanwhile, can increase their switching speeds by more than 20% while reducing their power consumption by about 30%, Intel estimates.

Intel's latest chip designs have other features to raise efficiency. Performance increases, compared with earlier models, average 7% to 13% at the same clock speed, Mr. Perlmutter says. But gaming enthusiasts are equally excited about the prospect of greater increases in clock speeds to make programs run faster.

Intel's new $999 quad-core model for high-end PCs, called the Core 2 Extreme QX9650, is being introduced at an initial clock speed of three gigahertz. But Kelt Reeves, president of gaming-PC maker Falcon Northwest, said he has been able to use a technique called overclocking to operate the chip at four gigahertz -- boosting performance by a third -- with little increase in power consumption. That suggests Intel's manufacturing process has "headroom to burn" in developing faster models later, he said.

Besides the gaming version, Intel is announcing 15 Xeon models for server systems, priced from $177 to $1,279, with clock speeds of up to 3.4 gigahertz.
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