Musharraf Will Fight Till Whatever End & Will Bring Americans Down With Him

The talks about similarities between Iranian Shah and Musharraf are premature at this point of time but chances for Islamic revolution are looking increasingly good. Why? Americans should know this better. They entered with bin Ladin in Faustian bargain and bogged down Soviets in Afghanistan. The resurrection of Taliban is inevitable in context of NATO continuing operations in Afghanistan. Musharraf and elements in ISI tried to save what was left of Al-Qaeda (he took some cosmetic measures and terrorist outfits simply rename themselves and still function) but Americans targeted the terror infrastructure in NWFR. These actions with heavy collateral civilian casualties generated the wave which Maulana Radio and likes are riding upon. They found in military ruled Pakistan the fertile ground for growth. Possibilities for remedial measures like dialogue with Pashtun and Baluchi nationalists to confront Islamists are remote.

Maybe you wondered why I did not mention mainstream political parties like Bhutto's PPP and Sharif's PML (N) at all. They were sidelined in the course of events and unlikely to gain from the current crisis. Neither Bush's emissars nor Mush do not believe in their abilities to fight with Islamists terror. Benazir and Nawaz hope with campaign of civil disobedience and protests they will succeed in ouster of the General but these protests will certainly be brutally suppressed. The slim chances for them are to be in the right place in the right time if Americans will succeed in palace coup to provide respectable curtain for ill-named war on terror.

What about Ahmadinejad? Why he shouldn't lose his sleep? Though neocon plans about Iran I believe are very much in place and there will be stronger efforts for new UN sanctions, chances for military confrontation and invasion in the wake of Pakistan's crisis diminished. As Bush's sponsored Musharraf regime is seems breathing its last there are desperate efforts to prevent new Islamic revolution next-door.

Instead of conclusion. What is my take on this situation? The mix of reasons behind the ongoing crisis is complex and there is no easy satisfactory solution in sight. Possibilities for withdrawal of Western troops from Afghanistan are nil. Chances for federal set-up in Pakistan are nil. Chances for Mush quitting army post are remote. Opportunities for sooner Parliament elections are remote (though it will depend on Benazir bargain with Mush). The stage for either palace coup or for Islamic revolution is set.
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