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State-by-state Voting-Methods Mix & Deviations of '04 Recorded VoteCounts from Exit Polls "Vote" (x)

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tiptoe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-25-07 05:33 PM
Original message
State-by-state Voting-Methods Mix & Deviations of '04 Recorded VoteCounts from Exit Polls "Vote" (x)
Edited on Sun Nov-25-07 05:39 PM by tiptoe
From: Up-to-date compendium of TIA's work on 2004 election fraud
x-post: Updated ( State Exit Poll Deviations by Voting Method)
The percentage mix of National Voting Methods () are comprised of:

DREs- 29%   Optical scanners- 37%   Levers-18%   Punch cards- 12%   Paper- 2%   Unknown/Other- 2%.
  • Kerry won the state-weighted national poll by 51.8-47.2%.
  • The net 4.26m "red-shift" is based on the average state exit poll WPE
  • There were 1249 precincts exit-polled nationwide.
  • The largest vote deviations and corresponding machine mix were in the following states:
    ...
Recorded 2-party vote by Voting Method:
...

Total Deviation to Bush from Exit Poll:
...

State Exit Polls: Average Within Precinct Error:
...

Exit Poll Precincts: Voting Method by Location-size
...

State Voting Method Mix

Dev - Deviation from recorded vote (in thousands)
WPE - Within Precinct Error ( - Kerry + Bush )

PERCENTAGE MIX


ST WPE Dev DRE Opti Lever Punch Paper Other
CA -10.9% -668 29 66 0 4 0 0
NY -11.4% -415 1 0 99 0 0 0
OH -10.9% -305 16 12 0 72 0 0
FL -7.6% -287 56 44 0 0 0 0
PA -8.8% -252 26 12 49 12 1 0

NC -11.3% -197 43 43 2 9 0 4
TX -4.8% -177 45 45 3 5 2 0
NJ -9.7% -174 73 1 25 0 0 0
MI -6.3% -151 4 60 12 20 4 0
...
MD -8.1% -96 100 0 0 0 0 0
...
SC -10.0% -80 86 14 0 0 0 0
...
CO -6.1% -64 37 61 0 1 0 0
...
NH -13.6% -46 0 65 0 0 35 0
...
NV -10.1% -41 100 0 0 0 0 0
...
GA -2.2% -36 100 0 0 0 0 0
...
NM -7.8% -29 90 10 0 0 0 0
...
IA -3.0% -22 11 88 1 0 0 0
...
Votes -4258 -1215 -1564 -788 -514 -89 -88
Mix 100% 28.5% 36.7% 18.5% 12.1% 2.1% 2.1%

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kansasblue Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-25-07 05:45 PM
Response to Original message
1. DU was heavy with these reports just after the election.

They are wonderful reports but I REALLY encourage you to go ahead and walk the reader through the document and to a conclusion.

I assume you are really good at statistics. Make it like a class and don't make any assumptions. Teach us. :-)

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bleever Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-25-07 06:14 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. The "Election Fraud Beginner's Guide" explains it
very nicely at the link.

You can get the essence with just a couple minutes of reading. :thumbsup:
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Wilms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-25-07 06:29 PM
Response to Original message
3. What is your aim?

Most of those who will believe the election was stolen already believe it (even if something other than TIA's exit polls was their "smoking gun"). Most who don't think there were significant problems won't.

Bush was inaugurated and, as a result, legally holds office.

TIA's data is pushed here and the cause of considerable excitement (on the part of those who may not even understand statistics). Let's agree that TIA's spot on. OK, then. Now what????

I believe the exit poll story was an important one that served a purpose. Is that still the case? How?

What's the aim, here? And, is this the most effective way to advocate it?

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tiptoe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-27-07 01:14 AM
Response to Reply #3
4. "considerable excitement"?
Edited on Tue Nov-27-07 01:35 AM by tiptoe
Still a mystery to or denied by most Americans.

The American People are Beginning to Get It
by Ernest Partridge 11/14 2007
Propaganda is a sprinter, but truth is a long-distance runner.
...
Despite compelling statistical, circumstantial, anecdotal and eyewitness evidence that two presidential and numerous congressional elections have been stolen, this evidence has been discounted, ignored and ridiculed by the mainstream media and, amazingly, by the victimized Democratic Party and its defeated candidates and even by some progressive publications.

Even so, a sizeable and growing portion of the American public isn’t buying the official and bi-partisan assurances that the US elections are, by and large, on the level, and that the Bush/Cheney regime is therefore legitimate. For example, an August, 2006 Zogby poll reports that only 45% of the population is “very confident” that Bush and Cheney won re-election “fair and square” in 2004. About a third were “not at all confident.”

In the “Afterword” to Fooled Again, comprising one hundred pages of new material, Miller chronicles the determined and persistent resistance of “official Democrats” to the very idea that they were the victims of massive election fraud. Astonishingly, progressive publications (yes, there are still a few), such as The Nation, Mother Jones, and the liberal websites, TomPaine.com and Salon.com, have all published caustic articles debunking thoroughly researched and scrupulously argued accusations of election fraud. Familiar ad hominem rebuttals are trotted out: “get over it,” “sore losers,” “conspiracy theorists.” Far more often, the fraud issue is denied even the dignity of mention and rebuttal. With the noteworthy exception of Catherine Crier and Lou Dobbs, the issue is virtually ignored on cable “news,” and, on network TV news, the embargo is total. ...
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Wilms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-29-07 06:23 AM
Response to Reply #4
5. Great article.
But the only mention of Exit Polls is in a comment posted by TIA himself.

Should I ask again?

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