Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login
Google

WTF does CNN have Clinton with the delegate lead?

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
This topic is archived.
Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion (1/22-2007 thru 12/14/2010) Donate to DU
 
RiverStone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 06:37 AM
Original message
WTF does CNN have Clinton with the delegate lead?
CNN Election Center 2008
updated 3:25 a.m. EDT, January 4, 2008
Road to the White House

Delegate Estimates

Clinton 169 (52%) Obama 66 (20%) Edwards 47 (14%)

here:

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/


When I went to bed, Obama won Iowa by 8%. No other states have voted. What gives with M$M/CNN? I'm half awake, so I could be missing something.

OK, back to bed. Maybe when I wake up, Obama will be in the lead again...:boring:










Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
Geostudent Donating Member (27 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 06:40 AM
Response to Original message
1. Super Delegates Ahoy
That page is using publicly committed Super Delegates from what I can tell.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
RiverStone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 06:47 AM
Response to Reply #1
3. So if Clinton keeps losing...
Will those Super Delegates stay with a losing candidate named Hillary?

I'm not a political science major (just a political DU junkie) - but this smells like the corporate media trying to wag the tail again. Just maybe, they don't know what the fuck they are talking about. :think:
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
CarbonDate Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 06:53 AM
Response to Reply #1
4. So basically, Hillary enters the race with a lead....
...that Obama and Edwards have to overcome, since she's the party favorite.

That's cool. All that means is that Obama just has to keep winning over the *voters* and to hell with the party insiders.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
elizfeelinggreat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 06:41 AM
Response to Original message
2. check the explanation
"Total Delegates include the results from Iowa and CNN estimates for other states"

Makes me wonder how good their estimates for Iowa were before last night.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
ThatPoetGuy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 06:56 AM
Response to Reply #2
6. It's because of fricking Michigan.
Michigan wasn't going to send delegates to the convention, so Barack and John didn't get their names on the ballot.

Now it looks like they might send delegates.

Which means, 150 free delegates for Hillary.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
displacedtexan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 09:20 AM
Response to Reply #6
8. 156 free delegates.
Ripe for the Clinton picking.

And Michigan is a heavyweight in Dem prez politics.

Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
RiverStone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 11:17 AM
Response to Reply #6
9. Can any Michigan DUer confirm this freebie delegate thing?
That does not seem right.

Thanks :hi:
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Romulox Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 11:24 AM
Response to Reply #9
11. It's not right. Michigan always planned to send delegates. The DNC isn't seating them.
John Edwards and Barack Obama (among others) pulled their names from the Michigan ballot as a pander to Iowa. HRC did not.

Now Obama and Edwards are complaining that HRC will receive Michigan's delegates, since they are not on the primary ballot here, while HRC remains on the ballot. However, as I mentioned before, the DNC has stated Michigan's delegate's won't count anyhow. Despite this, many people have speculated that Fla's and Mi's delegates will eventually be seated at the National Convention...

Imo, Edwards and Obama have no room to complain; no one required them to remove their names from the Michigan ballot. They did so to please voters in Iowa, and in the process, have lost the support of people in Michigan. Cause/effect. Who's to say that Obama would've won in Iowa if he hadn't disrespected Michigan voters to win the support of Iowa voters?
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Romulox Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 11:26 AM
Response to Reply #9
12. I should add that Obama, Edwards et al. only pulled out of Michigan after polls
showed HRC with a commanding lead.

Hillary is my least favorite candidate, but facts are facts.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Uben Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 06:54 AM
Response to Original message
5.  You gotta remember
Bill Clinton got 2.8% in Iowa in 92. This the beginning of a process, not the end. Obama did great in Iowa, but he spent 6 million more than any other dem candidate. There are 49 more of these to go, and it is a three way race now.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
displacedtexan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 08:28 AM
Response to Original message
7. Clinton already had 90% of all Dem superdelegates going into Iowa.
The media always ignores the actual delegate count.

If Michigan's delegates get counted, it's a whole new race:

especially with a popular female governor there.

This Dem primary is far from over.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Tierra_y_Libertad Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 11:22 AM
Response to Original message
10. Some are more equal than others. Super Delegates.
Which gives the lie to the "democratic" process.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
seasat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 11:32 AM
Response to Original message
13. There are 796 Dem super delegates, Clinton has 154 committed
That's the difference. She gets 15 Iowa delegates because of her third place there. The majority of the super delegates are still uncommitted. She also benefits because she represents a populous state and has 39 super delegates from NY committed.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
DU AdBot (1000+ posts) Click to send private message to this author Click to view 
this author's profile Click to add 
this author to your buddy list Click to add 
this author to your Ignore list Thu May 16th 2024, 02:15 AM
Response to Original message
Advertisements [?]
 Top

Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion (1/22-2007 thru 12/14/2010) Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators


Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC