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Huckabee can easily win the Republican nomination:

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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 12:35 PM
Original message
Huckabee can easily win the Republican nomination:
He won't win NH, but he can finish second if Romney collapses enough and the other votes are too divided. That will give him a further boost as he is not expected to do anything there. Then he goes on and wins against divided opposition in Michigan. Then he wins SC and does well in NV(probably no win here, but a good showing). Then he wins MO, AL, AR, OK, TN, GA, and MN(why should this be very different than Iowa? Huge evangelical presence there.) and possibly squeezing in wins in Colorado and California due to divided opposition. He can also beat Giuliani in Florida pretty easily. Sure he won't get shit in NY, NJ, or any other northeastern state but he doesn't need them.

At this point he has a plurality of delegates and we haven't gotten to Texas yet. He's already proven he doesn't need money or organization. If Romney and Giuliani stay in through Feb. 5th, they're in trouble. Republicans also generally have winner take all rules meaning that he can get the whole damn thing in a bunch of these states.
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Demeter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 12:36 PM
Response to Original message
1. That's What Frightens Me
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 12:38 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. We can wax him in the general election. I'm not worried.
We need to be sufficiently tough and also not bother with the Deep South. Those are his people. The mid-South, ex-Arkansas, can be had.
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Kazak Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 12:40 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. Bob Dole redux!
"Bring 'em on!!"
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 12:44 PM
Response to Reply #4
7. We'll paste him worse than that.
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ayeshahaqqiqa Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 12:56 PM
Response to Reply #3
13. Even Arkansas is up for grabs
Huckabee wasn't all that popular over many things he did while governor.
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bdamomma Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 01:45 PM
Response to Reply #3
23. if McCain pulls a win that would be interesting.
it would definitely quiet all those Evangelicals.
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yardwork Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 02:54 PM
Response to Reply #1
34. Actually, I find it hilarious. Romney is the one who worries me.
If huckleberry steals the nomination, the Wall Street guys are not going to be happy.
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liberal N proud Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 12:38 PM
Response to Original message
2. Huckleberry Hound for President



:crazy:
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 12:47 PM
Response to Reply #2
8. Ha! Good one.
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napi21 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 12:42 PM
Response to Original message
5. I think the Pub establishment will sink Huck! They don't want or like him at all!
I subscribe to NewsMax to keep up to date on what the opposition is thinking & planning, and believe me, they don't like that guy.
This morning they're calling him a flash in the pan.
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 12:43 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. They're way too divided. He can sneak in with all these winner-take-all
primaries. They tried to stop him in IA hardcore and it didn't work. They are powerless against this monster they have created.
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Enrique Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 12:49 PM
Response to Reply #5
9. they're trying, no doubt
but will they succeed?
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 12:50 PM
Response to Reply #9
10. I don't think so.
I think they don't have the power they used to.
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leftynyc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 01:02 PM
Response to Reply #5
17. Even more important to the lemmings on
the right - Rush has declard him "not a conservative". It's not going to be Huckabee although that would have been fun.
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senaca Donating Member (173 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 01:51 PM
Response to Reply #17
25. Focus on the Family
Dobson's endorsement of Huck. may have some play. If Huckabee loses the nomination will that, also, be a sign that Dobson's influence within the Republican Party is waning? To extropolate that, would that mean the evangelical wing's influence is subsiding? It seems to be a referendom on their influence so how will that play out?
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leftynyc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 02:39 PM
Response to Reply #25
31. Dobson and co are about to find out
how irrelevant they are in comparison to Rush, Coulter, etc.
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Rageneau Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 01:33 PM
Response to Reply #5
21. Freepers hate him, too.
Any candidate who does not have the support of the Trodgolyte branch of the GOP, so well represented by Free Republic, does not have a chance.

Freepers will only support someone who is as mean-spirited, insulting, and misinformed as they themselves are.

Huckabee is too reasonable and too mild-mannered for a bunch of people who still praise Ann Coulter, Rush Limbaugh and Karl Rove.
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 02:14 PM
Response to Reply #21
30. Who do they support?
They mainly seem to back Thompson and Romney. I don't see them doing so well. There is a portion of the Republican electorate that I know well here in Wisconsin that no one seems to understand.
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leftynyc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 02:42 PM
Response to Reply #21
32. They hate all the candidates expect
Thompson and Hunter (who has no chance). If Giuliani or Romney get the nod it'll be fun watching heads explode over there.
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yardwork Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 02:55 PM
Response to Reply #5
35. They're hoping he's a flash in the pan. I think they're wrong.
The corporatists got the right-wing fundies all riled up and now they can't control them. lol! Ain't karma a bitch.
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 05:16 PM
Response to Reply #35
37. Me too. He is a real phenomenon among the Republicans.
I know the sorts of people who vote for the Huckabees of the world. They are a real force. I've lived with them for years in Wisconsin. You have to know them well to understand them.
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ayeshahaqqiqa Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 12:55 PM
Response to Original message
11. He may not win Arkansas
Remember, he was governor here, and folks remember how he raised taxes and consolidated schools, among other things. There was a mini-revolt against him about the latter issue, and it started in Valley Springs, a town that isn't noted for its liberalism.
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 12:58 PM
Response to Reply #11
14. In the Republican primary sure as hell he will win Arkansas.
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ayeshahaqqiqa Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 01:17 PM
Response to Reply #14
18. and where in Arkansas do you live?
I live in the 3rd Congressional District, an area of the state so conservative that even Bill Clinton couldn't get elected to Congress when he tried. This is the area that is really ticked off over Huckabee--I mean REALLY ticked off. I have yet to see ANY Huckabee signs or bumper stickers here--Ron Paul, even Fred Thompson, but not Huckabee.
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Rageneau Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 01:38 PM
Response to Reply #18
22. I live in the 3rd District, too, and I've seen two Ron Paul yard signs.
But none for anyone else.

Looks like the Ron Paul types are re-runs of the old Perot and Nader supporters who so passionately believe in their lost cause.
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ayeshahaqqiqa Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 01:57 PM
Response to Reply #22
27. and the resident Libertarians
I have some friends who are Libertarians and they have sent me emails praising Ron Paul. They are from this area as well.
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 02:13 PM
Response to Reply #18
29. I don't go by yard signs and anecdotal evidence.
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On the Road Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 12:55 PM
Response to Original message
12. Romney is Almost a Favorite Son in NH
An incredible portion of NH residents formerly lived in MA, work, or have ties to MA.

However, I do expect Huckabee to be the nominee. And be a very strong candidate.
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undeterred Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 12:58 PM
Response to Reply #12
15. I don't think the voters will put up with stupidity again.
John Kerry was brilliant, though a little wooden, next to Bush the idiot.

Barack Obama is brilliant, and not wooden, next to Huckabee, who turns into an idiot as soon as you push him past 8th grade questions. The voters are tired of morons.
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 12:59 PM
Response to Reply #12
16. People hate Mitt Romney. Even Republicans.
He's done. That Iowa loss was humiliating.
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On the Road Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 01:28 PM
Response to Reply #16
19. If That's True, and Romney Loses NH, He is Toast
Too bad, because I think he's one of the more beatable candidates. But regional loyalties are strange. Republicans might be looking for another candidate, but to hear them talk nobody is the least bit inspiring.
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bdamomma Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 01:50 PM
Response to Reply #16
24. listening to C Span this morning there are Republican callers out there
Edited on Fri Jan-04-08 01:50 PM by alyce douglas
who do not know who to vote for and look at us what a wonderful choice of candidates we have. *co certainly screwed the Repig party and I am sure * and Cheney do not give a crap about it, they have made their millions and continue to do so.
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Beelzebud Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 01:32 PM
Response to Original message
20. I hope he is their candidate.
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Ganja Ninja Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 01:56 PM
Response to Original message
26. Huckabee will not win the Republican Party's nomination.
He will win the Evangelical Christian Party's nomination and the GOP will be forced to nominate him because they are a minority in their own party. Thank Ronald Reagen for that.

I'm going to love every minute of it.
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 02:12 PM
Response to Reply #26
28. He has the best chance due to a very certain bloc of states that will vote
for him. The rest are divided or questionable. I tell you all that poo poo his odds that we may get very lucky.
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leftynyc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 02:45 PM
Response to Reply #28
33. Can we really be that lucky?
First an embarassment of riches having so many well qualified candidates on our side (now that Biden is out, I'm having a hard time deciding who to support - I love them all). And then the pubbies nominating someone who will lose 40 states.
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-..__... Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 03:47 PM
Response to Original message
36. Huckabee is the face of more to come.
He doesn't have to win anything. A strong showing will be enough to give the Evangelicals enough "faith" that in 4-8 years that they could conceivably put one of their own in the White House.... especially at a time when their children will have reached voting age.
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