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Obama will be the nominee (ahem...). That said,his choice for VP becomes critical to whether he can/will be elected. I am also quite certain he cannot choose Hillary as his mate. That would eviscerate his call to "change", and, for many, constitute a sell-out to the established order. It would not produce the desired result.
He cannot pick a young, rising star for the reason that HE is the young and rising star. He needs some "gravitas" on the ticket, much as did the Chimp, to instill confidence among the electorate that his administration would not be hopelessly lost in learning on the job.
He cannot pick a NE liberal, because his message calls for moderating "extremism," professing the "middle way." Yet he will need help with carrying the demographics in several northern and midwestern, rust-belt states that are crucial to achieving an electoral majority.
There aren't a lot of experienced, elder statesmen or stateswomen hanging around. Very many have left politics. None on the west coast, really, except maybe in California...but I think California is as outside the middle way as the NE liberals. None of the former cabinet members from the Clinton regime would be a good choice for reasons that they, too, would be seen as part of the old guard. An exception might be Richardson.
There is talk of reaching across party lines. Hagel has been mentioned. And Bloomberg, too.
Joe Biden, though, is a Democrat, with experience, who has demonstrated a commitment to non-confrontational politics, a consensus builder across party lines, with a "change" view of international relations based on a moral, rational self-interest. Really, Joe Biden is not just a good, qualifying choice... he is the rational choice, as well. I am optimistic Barack will agree and choose Joe as his partner in this new venture for America at home and abroad. We will see what we will see.
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