and it's ALL subjective. Political, often highly manipulated. It can go any direction at all.
Retired Officers Raise Questions on Crime Data
By WILLIAM K. RASHBAUM
Published: February 6, 2010
More than a hundred retired New York Police Department captains and higher-ranking officers said in a survey that the intense pressure to produce annual crime reductions led some supervisors and precinct commanders to manipulate crime statistics, according to two criminologists studying the department.
The retired members of the force reported that they were aware over the years of instances of “ethically inappropriate” changes to complaints of crimes in the seven categories measured by the department’s signature CompStat program, according to a summary of the results of the survey and interviews with the researchers who conducted it.
The totals for those seven so-called major index crimes are provided to the F.B.I., whose reports on crime trends have been used by Mayor Michael R. Bloomberg and his predecessor, Rudolph W. Giuliani, to favorably compare New York to other cities and to portray it as a profoundly safer place, an assessment that the summary does not contradict.
In interviews with the criminologists, other retired senior officers cited examples of what the researchers believe was a periodic practice among some precinct commanders and supervisors: checking eBay, other Web sites, catalogs or other sources to find prices for items that had been reported stolen that were lower than the value provided by the crime victim. They would then use the lower values to reduce reported grand larcenies — felony thefts valued at more than $1,000, which are recorded as index crimes under CompStat — to misdemeanors, which are not, the researchers said.
Others also said that precinct commanders or aides they dispatched sometimes went to crime scenes to persuade victims not to file complaints or to urge them to change their accounts in ways that could result in the downgrading of offenses to lesser crimes, the researchers said.
“Those people in the CompStat era felt enormous pressure to downgrade index crime, which determines the crime rate, and at the same time they felt less pressure to maintain the integrity of the crime statistics,” said John A. Eterno, one of the researchers and a retired New York City police captain.
His colleague, Eli B. Silverman, added, “As one person said, the system provides an incentive for pushing the envelope.”
More:
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/02/07/nyregion/07crime.html~~~~~NY crime statistics doctored by police: survey
Sun, 07 Feb 2010 13:54:21 GMT
A controversial report reveals that high-ranking officers at the New York Police Department (NYPD) have consistently manipulated crime statistics in a bid to show the city as safe and secure.
According to two criminologists, who recently launched a probe into the department, the intense pressure to secure annual crime reductions prompted NYPD bosses to make "ethically inappropriate" changes to complaints of crimes.
Both New York Mayor Michael R. Bloomberg and his predecessor, Rudolph W. Giuliani, have used the manipulated data to portray New York as much safer than other cities in the US, reportedThe New York Times on Sunday.
More:
http://www.presstv.ir/detail.aspx?id=118104§ionid=3510203
~~~~~Manipulating crime statistics
The annual ritual has hit us again - the preliminary figures of the national crime statistics, published each year by the FBI, in a report called Crime in the United States: Uniform Crime Reports. On May 8, this report made the headlines in every major newspaper around the country, informing us that "Serious crime down again: 7% dip in'99" (USA Today) and "U.S. Crime Falls, 8th Year in a Row" (LA Times).
~snip~
One immediate problem is that these "index crimes" are the ones that are reported periodically in the press and quoted constantly by public officials. The problem is that when they are reported the words "serious crimes" are usually used (as in the recent headlines), instead of simply "index crimes." There are many problems with this, not the least of which is the fact that many offenses included under the "Part II" grouping are at least as serious as many in the "index crime" grouping; with some far more serious, such as fraud and embezzlement (the monetary value of these crimes dwarf index property crimes), and kidnapping (included in a catch-all category called "all other offenses"). Furthermore, the index crimes lump together murder and shoplifting (the latter is included within the largest single category of index crimes, larceny-theft) - in other words, "serious crimes" include both murder and shoplifting!
The main problem is that the data reported in this annual report are among the most unreliable of all social data. They often become mired in politics and bureaucratic manipulation to put forward a positive image about the criminal justice system's response to crime. In fact, in recent years many police departments have been caught "cooking the books" concerning their official crime statistics. Some police administrators may knowingly falsify crime reports by undervaluing the cost of stolen goods, or report a "larceny from a person" that was an ordinary pick pocketing as a "robbery" (or vice versa), or even exaggerate the number of "gangs," and "gang members” in order to get federal funding to create or increase the size of a "gang unit." Scandals in several police departments in such cities as Philadelphia, Boca Raton, Florida, Atlanta and Buffalo, New York have been reported recently. During 1998 police departments in these cities were accused of falsely reporting crime statistics, resulting in resignations and demotions of high-ranking police officials. In one case, a police captain in Boca Raton downgraded property crimes like burglary to less serious misdemeanors crimes like vandalism and trespassing, resulting in a reduction of that city's felony rate by 11 percent. In one example, he reclassified as "vandalism" a case where a burglar stole $5,000 in jewelry and did more than $25,000 in damage. Philadelphia's problem was so bad that they had to withdraw their crime figures from the FBI report for 1996, 1997 and the first half of 1998. (Crime figures from entire states have had to be eliminated from the annual FBI report in recent years).More:
http://www.sheldensays.com/manipulating_crime_statistics.htm~~~~~We know from our own ability to reason how the crime states will be reported by police chiefs who hate the leader.