AZ-Gov: Goddard Leads All Comers

Public Policy Polling (4/23-25, Arizona voters, 9/18-21/2009 in parens):

Terry Goddard (D): 47 (46)
Jan Brewer (R-inc): 44 (36)
Undecided: 10 (17)

Terry Goddard (D): 47 (45)
Dean Martin (R): 36 (37)
Undecided: 9 (18)

Terry Goddard (D): 47
Joe Arpaio (R): 44
Undecided: 9

Terry Goddard (D): 45
Buz Mills (R): 37
Undecided: 18

Terry Goddard (D): 46
John Munger (R): 31
Undecided: 23
(MoE: ±3.4%)

Overall, this is a pretty nice set of numbers for state AG Terry Goddard, especially compared to Rasmussen's latest portrayal of the race, which had Goddard trailing the likes of Dean Martin by 13 points. Still, the poll is evidence that Jan Brewer is showing some significant signs of life, consolidating support from her party and from independents. From Jensen:

Partisan preferences have hardened in the wake of Brewer's signing a tough immigration bill last week. Where Brewer was getting only 59% of the Republican vote in our last poll, she's now at 73%. But Goddard has seen a similar improvement in his own party, improving from 77% of the Democratic vote to 88%. The main reason for the overall tightening is that where Brewer trailed Goddard by 12 points with independents previously, that's now just a 2 point deficit.

And where Brewer trailed Goddard among white voters by 2 points last September, she now leads by 8. It's the state's Hispanic voters that are keeping Goddard ahead: their support of Goddard jumped from 53-33 to 71-25, which represents a huge improvement over Barack Obama's 56-41 win among Hispanic voters in Arizona.

http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/6791/azgov-goddards-leads-all-republicans

She was going down in flames so she cynically pandered to the Teabagger/Racist contingent to shore up her numbers. Or else Russell Pearce and the Teabag contingent have some dirt on her - she was ineffectual before assuming the governorship, but she was never batshit crazy.

:hi:

http://www.terrygoddard.com

Facebook:
http://www.facebook.com/#!/terrygoddardaz

I suspect Jan Brewer couldn't get elected dog catcher of Nogales AZ after her brilliant performances of late.

Independents concerns me. Hopefully other polls will show Terry with a lead and less undecideds.