Halter takes 47-44 lead over Lincoln in Arkansas run-off

Research 2000 for Daily Kos. 5/24-26. Likely Democratic primar voters. MoE 5% (5/10-12 results)

Democratic primary

Blanche Lincoln (D) 44
Bill Halter (D) 47
Undecided 9

Favorable/Unfavorable

Lincoln 59/36 (61/35)
Halter 63/21 (65/17)



Lincoln seems stuck in the mid 40s, as she has for weeks. Halter scooped up all the undecideds during the first round primary, and continues that trend in the runoff period. All the negative ads from all sides continue to do little to dent both candidates' favorability ratings.

There is a huge gender gap, with Halter winning women 51-39, while Lincoln wins men 49-43. African Americans continue to poll strongly for Halter, and he wins this key demographic 58-28. Lincoln has a slight edge among white voters, 47-45.

Same poll, but general election sample, among likely voters, MoE 4%:

Blanche Lincoln (D) 38 (40)
John Boozman (R) 58 (54)

Bill Halter (D) 42 (41)
John Boozman (R) 53 (50)

Favorable/Unfavorable

Lincoln 37/58 (39/55)
Halter 47/37 (47/34)
Boozman 52/34 (45/34)



Boozman got a sizable victory boost, making big favorability gains among Republicans and Independents. If Lincoln wins, this seat is a guaranteed goner. No way she makes up that ground as an incumbent in a red state in an anti-incumbent year. She's dead, dead, dead. If Halter wins, he should get his own boost, but he'll certainly start the race as the underdog.

Lucky for him, he'll be the outsider running against a 10-year DC entrenched incumbent. That's not a bad place to be in 2010
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Go lefties!

I don't think Arkansas wants you anymore. No, you're not clean enough to bring back into the Senate with the real Democrats.

Can't wait!!

In today paper, Lincoln is moving to the left to try to gain us back. Ha! Toooooooo late!

Blanche is a POS.

and you've got time to donate to Halter (as well as the guy who's running against Rand)--even if you don't live in AR!

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=389&topic_id=8368023

:patriot:
rocktivity

nt

make her go away!

if it falls within the margin of error.

But look at polls for primary.Lincoln was ahead by 8/9 points and won by 2.This track record Is not good for Lincoln.Women and
Blacks for halter In runoff Is very bad for her.

A runoff election comes down to turnout--and how many do YOU know who will come out to vote for Senator Mushy McMiddle?

Will be there to proudly vote for Bill.

Then start the preparation to kick Boozeman's ass in November...

I got a call today asking for another donation. :-)