Welcome to DU!
The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards.
Join the community:
Create a free account
Support DU (and get rid of ads!):
Become a Star Member
Latest Breaking News
General Discussion
The DU Lounge
All Forums
Issue Forums
Culture Forums
Alliance Forums
Region Forums
Support Forums
Help & Search
General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: President Biden's lead among among young women is 33 points! [View all]Celerity
(44,213 posts)20. Biden is only pulling 45 per cent will all voters 18 to 29yo
When there is no voter screen (i.e., all young adults 18-29), the race narrows to single digits, 45% for President Biden, 37% for former President Trump, with 16 percent undecided.
That number is worrisome as he needs to be at or above 60%.
Hillary Clinton and John Kerry only came in around 55% for the 18-29s, and they lost.
Also, despite some bad faith denialists' attempts to claim otherwise (including one directly calling me a liar, ffs), there most certainly IS a large gender gap with young voters (and this is far from the only poll that shows it, most all of them do):
President Biden's lead among young men is six points; among young women his lead is 33 points
Finally, my worry about the younger parts of Gen Z trending less and less Dem compared to the very oldest Gen Zers and the last years of the youngest Millennials looks to be possibly getting worse and is for sure if this poll is accurate):
President Biden's lead among 18-24 year-olds is 14 points, and among 25-29 year-olds it is 26 points
I first really noticed this trend in 2022, when youngest part part of the Zillennial (Zillennials are those born 1992/3 to 1998, I was born late 1996) cohort plus a tiny 10 month sliver of the very oldest Gen Zers voted Democratic around 7 points net HIGHER than did the vast part of Gen Z (all but the oldest 10 months of it):
2022 Exit polls
That 7 point net gap has now almost doubled, IF this poll is accurate. I have warned for years that Gen Z will likely NOT be a linear progression in terms of liberal/progressive voting patterns, especially in regards to partisan Democratic Party allegiance.
I know thousands of them, hell, if I had been born 2 and half months later I would BE ONE. This board, on balance, doesn't deeply understand them. Hell, the board doesn't deeply understand us younger Millennials all that well. There also are far too many deep currents of hostility towards us younger folk in general here, currents from a minority, smaller group, but a group that is very vocal and persistent.
IF Biden loses and if it can be shown 40yos and under underperformed (funny thing that.... some of the worst youth baiters here come from self-identified age, gender, and racial cohorts who are massively pro MAGAt, but either never comment on that fact or get argy bargy of you bring it up with them) it is going to be hell here for us. I am definitely not go to stick around if I am used as a proxy target for my age cohort.
Edit history
Please sign in to view edit histories.
23 replies
= new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight:
NoneDon't highlight anything
5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
RecommendedHighlight replies with 5 or more recommendations
if they are militantly anti-choice, mostly because they are following their religion's precepts.
CTyankee
Apr 18
#6
A guilty verdict in any of former President Trump's trials could significantly impact the youth vote. If Trump is found
progressoid
Apr 18
#7