Facts about any polls that you need to know. [View all]

1. We live in the most polarized electorate maybe in our history. Any poll that has an equal number of Republicans, Democrats is basically going to show that the race is essentially tied.

2. Any lead by either candidate has to be well outside the margin of error (MOE) to be taken seriously.

3. The election will be decided by turnout. Polls that rely on self-reporting about a future activity may be unreliable. Who actually votes is something that pollsters struggle to model. It was easier when voters would cross party lines to vote. Today, Republicans who personally despise Trump will still vote for him. See Bill Barr.